Weekly Projections

Week 7 Stat Projections

2026 season · Oct 22–Oct 26 · Last updated Wed, Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET (Evaluation)

Week 7 Stat Projections, 2026
  1. Initial Thu, Oct 22, 4:41 PM ET Published
  2. Thursday final Thu, Oct 22, 4:41 PM ET Published
  3. Sunday final Sun, Oct 25, 7:50 AM ET Published
  4. Monday final Mon, Oct 26, 6:22 PM ET Published
  5. Evaluation Wed, Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET Latest
Key  Final locked before kickoff   Prelim will update before its game

Evaluation

How the Final projections did269 players, half-PPR EFS MAE 4.10 ESPN MAE 4.11 Initial MAE 4.04
MAE (pts)
4.10 ESPN 4.11
Average miss, lower is better
RMSE (pts)
5.43 ESPN 5.49
Penalizes big misses
Bias (pts)
-0.30 ESPN -0.05
Above 0 means projected too high
R²
0.458 ESPN 0.447
Share of variance explained
Rank corr.
0.580 ESPN 0.586
Spearman within position
EFS closer than ESPN
126/269 47%
Player-by-player head to head
By position MAE, bias and head-to-head
PosNEFS Final MAEEFS Initial MAEESPN MAEEFS BiasESPN BiasEFS closer
QB 28 5.24 5.29 5.47 0.41 0.57 18/28
RB 58 4.85 4.76 4.96 -1.55 -1.45 27/58
WR 118 3.91 3.84 3.92 0.32 0.78 51/118
TE 65 3.27 3.21 3.14 -0.61 -0.59 30/65
By stat mean absolute error per stat line
StatNEFS MAEESPN MAE
Passing yards 28 56.6 53.2
Passing TD 28 0.75 0.74
Interceptions 28 0.52 0.57
Rush attempts 85 3.52 3.63
Rushing yards 85 22.3 22.0
Rushing TD 85 0.42 0.39
Targets 241 1.45 1.51
Receptions 241 1.22 1.23
Receiving yards 241 18.1 18.3
Receiving TD 241 0.25 0.25
Did the updates help? Initial vs Final
ProjectionMAERMSEBiasR²Rank corr.
EFS Final 4.10 5.43 -0.30 0.458 0.580
EFS Initial 4.04 5.41 -0.33 0.462 0.577
ESPN Final 4.11 5.49 -0.05 0.447 0.586
Largest misses by EFS absolute error
PlayerEFSESPNActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Tony PollardRB · TEN 9.9 12.7 35.0 −25.1 −22.4
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ 4.4 4.4 20.7 −16.3 −16.3
Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ 4.6 6.2 20.0 −15.4 −13.8
Caleb DouglasWR · MIA 5.6 5.7 20.0 −14.4 −14.3
KC ConcepcionWR · CLE 5.3 6.8 19.2 −13.9 −12.4
Davis AllenTE · LAR 2.7 2.1 16.0 −13.3 −13.9
Malik WillisQB · MIA 12.9 13.3 26.0 −13.1 −12.7
Jameson WilliamsWR · DET 10.7 9.0 23.6 −12.9 −14.6
Tee HigginsWR · CIN 11.4 11.7 23.8 −12.4 −12.1
Bucky IrvingRB · TB 11.3 12.9 23.5 −12.2 −10.6

67 projected players did not play and are left out of these numbers.

Projections by position

QuarterbacksQB29 playersEFS MAE 5.24ESPN MAE 5.47EFS closer 18/28
PlayerOppKickoffStatusPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Joe BurrowCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2762.10.780.119.719.7+0.128.99.19.2
Lamar JacksonBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal2321.80.6290.219.4––Did not play
Drake MayeNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal2451.90.8240.219.421.1−1.727.48.06.4
Jared GoffDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal2712.10.550.119.318.9+0.520.00.71.2
Jordan LoveGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal2781.90.690.119.320.0−0.717.02.33.1
Bryce YoungCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal2501.90.8110.218.517.9+0.67.411.110.5
Brock PurdySF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal2391.80.8170.318.320.5−2.212.06.38.5
Caleb WilliamsCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal2441.50.4180.218.118.0+0.122.14.04.1
Matthew StaffordLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal2532.10.750.118.018.8−0.817.50.51.3
Kyler MurrayMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal2551.40.6240.217.918.2−0.313.94.04.3
Aaron RodgersPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal2571.80.660.117.419.6−2.213.14.36.5
Bo NixDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal2501.40.6170.217.216.3+0.926.29.09.9
Tyler ShoughNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal2491.30.7170.216.915.7+1.313.83.11.8
C.J. StroudHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal2611.40.5100.116.919.8−2.914.52.45.3
Dak PrescottDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal2861.30.8120.116.816.9−0.121.34.54.4
Jacoby BrissettARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal2611.30.6120.116.514.5+2.016.50.02.0
Geno SmithNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal2241.90.8110.116.216.2+0.021.55.35.3
Tanner McKeePHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal2691.50.960.115.915.0+0.910.55.44.5
Baker MayfieldTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal2191.60.8160.115.815.6+0.16.79.19.0
Patrick MahomesKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal2381.30.7150.215.715.7±0.06.09.79.7
Kirk CousinsLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal2411.50.750.115.316.7−1.420.45.13.7
Deshaun WatsonCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal2171.30.7220.115.214.7+0.518.23.03.5
Tyler HuntleyBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal2271.10.7190.214.916.3−1.415.10.21.1
Michael Penix Jr.ATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal2311.20.580.114.914.9+0.020.45.55.5
Sam DarnoldSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal2481.30.880.014.713.2+1.514.00.70.8
J.J. McCarthyNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal2131.00.8160.213.816.7−2.810.23.76.5
Cam WardTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal2150.90.5110.213.311.7+1.65.77.66.0
Malik WillisMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal1940.90.7170.212.913.3−0.426.013.112.7
Daniel JonesIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2300.70.7100.112.410.1+2.33.68.86.5
Running backsRB72 playersEFS MAE 4.85ESPN MAE 4.96EFS closer 27/58
PlayerOppKickoffStatusAttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Jahmyr GibbsDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal22.8991.24.3350.424.823.6+1.216.87.96.8
Bijan RobinsonATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal20.4921.04.2360.222.219.4+2.914.77.54.7
Christian McCaffreySF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal16.1660.75.2480.420.719.4+1.419.01.70.4
Ashton JeantyLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal18.8750.43.7270.316.115.1+1.017.61.52.5
Derrick HenryBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal21.4940.80.880.015.817.5−1.75.410.412.1
D'Andre SwiftCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal18.7830.71.8140.115.514.9+0.617.01.52.1
Kyren WilliamsLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal14.5630.72.7210.214.818.3−3.619.14.40.8
Chase BrownCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal14.4590.43.7260.314.412.7+1.77.86.64.9
Javonte WilliamsDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal19.5800.61.9120.114.315.6−1.321.57.25.9
Kenneth Walker IIIKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal15.0670.53.0210.114.117.8−3.67.76.410.1
Jonathan TaylorIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal16.9650.62.7200.114.114.1±0.018.03.93.9
Saquon BarkleyPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal15.9670.52.8180.113.814.0−0.214.10.30.1
Breece HallNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal14.8600.62.0170.113.113.2−0.1Did not play
Woody MarksHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal20.7840.41.3120.113.113.1−0.18.64.54.5
Josh JacobsGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal13.1560.62.1160.112.711.7+1.017.64.95.9
Jaylen WarrenPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal12.9580.32.8250.212.416.0−3.615.22.80.8
Chuba HubbardCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal13.8570.71.690.112.013.6−1.68.04.05.6
Quinshon JudkinsCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal16.3610.42.4140.111.811.9−0.122.911.111.0
Rhamondre StevensonNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal11.4520.52.1150.111.710.2+1.520.08.39.8
Bucky IrvingTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal13.6570.22.6210.211.312.9−1.623.512.210.6
TreVeyon HendersonNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal12.5550.41.5110.110.56.7+3.83.37.23.4
Aaron Jones Sr.MINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal11.2470.32.6190.110.511.0−0.53.17.47.9
Rico DowdlePIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal10.0400.32.7190.210.27.0+3.111.61.44.5
Cam SkatteboNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal12.4500.31.9160.19.96.3+3.618.68.712.3
Tony PollardTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal15.1670.21.3100.09.912.7−2.835.025.122.4
Emanuel WilsonSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal16.6650.40.740.09.710.3−0.518.08.37.7
J.K. DobbinsDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal15.3620.30.950.09.112.8−3.78.30.84.5
Jeremiyah LoveARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal11.7500.21.5130.18.511.1−2.6Did not play
Ollie Gordon IIMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal12.8520.40.430.08.411.0−2.616.88.45.8
RJ HarveyDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal5.1200.23.5250.28.49.5−1.113.04.63.5
Kenny GainwellTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal5.3230.13.6220.28.35.4+2.88.80.53.4
Alvin KamaraNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal9.9390.22.1170.18.26.7+1.59.71.53.0
David MontgomeryHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal10.6440.40.980.08.1––Did not play
MarShawn LloydGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal7.7290.51.4100.18.12.8+5.34.53.61.8
Blake CorumLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal9.7440.40.640.17.69.8−2.216.69.06.8
Tyler AllgeierARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal10.3410.21.4120.07.410.0−2.66.41.03.6
Jaylen WrightMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal12.8510.20.750.07.44.4+2.90.86.63.6
Brian Robinson Jr.ATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal7.6310.50.660.07.35.7+1.6Did not play
Bam KnightARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal9.3390.21.5120.17.27.6−0.47.80.60.2
Braelon AllenNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal8.3340.40.760.07.08.3−1.316.49.48.1
Jordan MasonMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal8.8390.40.530.07.09.9−2.96.80.23.1
Dameon PiercePHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal7.0270.31.4130.17.05.9+1.111.34.35.4
Tyjae SpearsTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal5.6230.12.4170.16.35.5+0.8Did not play
Justice HillBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal4.3220.22.0140.15.94.9+0.94.81.10.1
Samaje PerineCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal7.5300.21.090.05.85.5+0.37.61.82.1
Mike Washington Jr.LVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal6.8300.30.760.05.65.5+0.12.72.92.8
Kendre MillerNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal7.9320.20.650.05.48.9−3.54.31.14.6
Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal6.6270.11.290.15.05.1−0.18.23.23.1
Roschon JohnsonCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal5.2210.30.960.05.08.4−3.41.33.77.1
Sean TuckerTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal5.3220.30.650.05.02.4+2.611.26.28.8
Kaelon BlackSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal8.4330.10.650.05.06.1−1.112.47.46.3
Emmett JohnsonKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal5.8220.21.370.14.94.5+0.42.72.21.8
Khalil HerbertATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal5.4220.30.540.04.84.0+0.93.31.50.7
AJ DillonCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal8.6320.20.220.04.73.0+1.7Did not play
Jonah ColemanDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal4.2170.21.080.04.42.2+2.27.93.55.7
George HolaniSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal6.1230.20.750.04.36.0−1.82.81.53.2
Dylan SampsonCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal2.7100.11.8140.14.15.0−0.99.25.14.2
Devin SingletaryNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal5.0200.11.050.03.74.2−0.413.09.38.8
Pierre Strong Jr.GB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal4.1170.11.080.13.63.1+0.5Did not play
Seth McGowanIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal4.3170.10.870.03.62.5+1.15.31.72.8
Audric EstimeCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal3.3140.10.960.03.5––Did not play
Dare OgunbowaleHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal2.8100.30.540.03.35.7−2.4Did not play
CJ DonaldsonNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal4.2180.10.660.03.23.9−0.8Did not play
Jaleel McLaughlinCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal3.4150.10.730.03.10.0+3.10.03.10.0
Demond ClaiborneMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal3.3130.10.640.02.90.0+2.9Did not play
Kyle JuszczykSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal–––1.3130.12.62.9−0.38.66.05.7
Tyler GoodsonDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal3.1120.10.640.02.23.1−0.93.81.60.6
DeeJay DallasMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal1.9100.10.430.02.2––0.02.2–
Velus Jones Jr.SEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal3.0130.10.220.02.12.9−0.80.81.32.1
Tyler BadieDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal1.560.10.750.01.92.2−0.2Did not play
Sione VakiDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal2.6100.10.110.01.84.0−2.20.51.33.5
Julius ChestnutTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal1.340.00.000.00.7––0.00.7–
Wide receiversWR149 playersEFS MAE 3.91ESPN MAE 3.92EFS closer 51/118
PlayerOppKickoffStatusTgtRecRec YdsRec TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Puka NacuaLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal10.17.3960.717.3––17.80.5–
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal9.56.8910.515.716.4−0.726.811.110.4
Amon-Ra St. BrownDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal9.26.8770.715.116.0−0.919.74.63.7
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal8.85.9810.614.817.9−3.114.70.13.2
A.J. BrownNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal8.45.4820.614.313.5+0.96.38.07.2
CeeDee LambDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal9.26.3840.413.915.0−1.121.98.06.9
DeVonta SmithPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMPrelim8.76.2820.413.713.5+0.2Did not play
Justin JeffersonMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal8.15.6830.413.515.4−1.96.47.19.0
Garrett WilsonNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal9.35.8700.613.212.3+0.93.69.68.7
Chris OlaveNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal8.95.6730.412.412.7−0.38.63.84.1
Zay FlowersBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal8.35.7750.312.312.1+0.323.711.411.6
Tetairoa McMillanCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal7.64.5670.512.013.1−1.06.06.07.1
Christian WatsonGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal6.34.0720.411.814.0−2.28.23.65.8
George PickensDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal7.44.7750.311.710.7+0.913.72.03.0
Nico CollinsHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal7.54.7720.311.614.1−2.51.610.012.5
Drake LondonATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal8.45.2650.411.514.1−2.616.14.62.0
Jaylen WaddleDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal7.05.0690.311.59.0+2.56.84.72.2
Tee HigginsCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal7.04.4640.511.411.7−0.323.812.412.1
Rashee RiceKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal7.55.6640.311.3––Did not play
Mike EvansSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal6.94.1610.511.1––Did not play
Jameson WilliamsDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal5.73.6650.410.79.0+1.723.612.914.6
Michael WilsonARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal7.95.0620.310.710.2+0.58.62.11.6
DK MetcalfPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal7.34.3620.410.612.6−2.06.64.06.0
Jalen CokerCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal6.04.4610.410.612.7−2.11.49.211.3
Malik NabersNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal8.35.2610.310.514.6−4.114.64.10.0
Luther Burden IIICHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal5.84.4600.39.710.3−0.621.712.011.4
Keenan AllenIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal7.95.2570.29.56.8+2.74.64.92.2
Matthew GoldenGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal5.83.7540.39.214.4−5.26.92.37.5
Emeka EgbukaTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal7.03.6480.48.911.4−2.6Did not play
Jordan AddisonMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal5.93.7520.38.89.1−0.33.35.55.8
Josh DownsIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal6.84.4510.28.46.5+2.02.85.63.7
Chris Godwin Jr.TB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal5.84.2450.28.08.7−0.64.73.34.0
Carnell TateTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal6.34.0480.27.89.0−1.29.41.60.4
Denzel BostonCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal4.62.4480.37.510.2−2.74.23.36.0
Rome OdunzeCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal5.52.9420.37.58.6−1.18.91.40.3
Courtland SuttonDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal5.03.3440.27.47.6−0.26.01.41.6
Xavier WorthyKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal5.93.5420.27.310.0−2.72.64.77.4
Tank DellHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal4.72.9410.27.01.9+5.05.02.03.1
Germie BernardPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal5.13.7340.36.910.9−4.04.22.76.7
Tre TuckerLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal4.92.9400.26.88.7−1.918.812.010.1
Ryan FlournoyDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal5.13.5390.26.87.1−0.39.02.21.9
Wan'Dale RobinsonTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal6.34.3360.26.86.7+0.02.74.14.0
Makai LemonPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal6.54.3310.26.66.6−0.116.29.69.6
Ted Hurst IIITB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal4.82.5390.26.58.4−1.90.06.58.4
Devaughn VeleNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal4.73.3380.16.38.2−1.913.97.65.7
Cooper KuppSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal4.23.0360.26.15.2+0.93.03.12.2
Malik WashingtonMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal5.43.8310.26.08.3−2.35.01.03.3
Rashid ShaheedSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal3.92.5370.15.86.5−0.61.14.75.3
Christian KirkSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal5.02.9250.35.76.8−1.1Did not play
Andrew ArmstrongKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal4.12.5330.25.74.7+1.00.84.93.9
Caleb DouglasMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal4.52.8340.15.65.7−0.120.014.414.3
Kendrick BourneARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal3.62.7340.15.66.1−0.52.43.23.7
Hollywood BrownPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal4.32.6290.25.54.1+1.44.01.50.1
Reggie VirgilARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal4.32.6320.15.4––Did not play
KC ConcepcionCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal4.93.1270.25.36.8−1.519.213.912.4
Dontayvion WicksPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMPrelim4.22.5330.15.37.5−2.2Did not play
John Metchie IIICARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal4.32.6250.25.23.9+1.33.02.20.9
Jerry JeudyCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal4.12.6280.25.04.6+0.44.10.90.5
Adonai MitchellNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal4.22.0290.25.06.3−1.30.05.06.3
Jalen NailorLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal3.22.0310.15.04.8+0.22.42.62.4
Marvin Harrison Jr.HOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal3.72.0290.24.96.3−1.37.12.20.8
Darius CooperPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal3.42.1270.24.87.7−2.92.22.65.5
Isaac TeSlaaDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal2.91.7280.24.86.2−1.41.53.34.7
Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal4.21.9260.24.84.8+0.00.04.84.8
DeMario DouglasNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal3.22.2240.24.78.8−4.13.80.95.0
Omar Cooper Jr.NYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal2.91.8210.34.66.2−1.520.015.413.8
Ja'Kobi LaneBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal3.52.1280.14.54.0+0.64.00.50.0
Kayshon BoutteHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal2.81.8270.14.52.5+2.13.01.50.5
Kalif RaymondCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal2.92.1260.14.54.0+0.50.04.54.0
Jauan JenningsMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal3.02.0250.24.51.6+2.84.40.12.8
Brandon JohnsonPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal3.21.9240.24.4––Did not play
Xavier HutchinsonHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal3.92.1240.14.33.5+0.910.46.16.9
Elijah MoorePHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal3.42.1230.14.34.0+0.32.61.71.4
Tory HortonSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal3.01.8230.24.21.6+2.60.04.21.6
Brandin CooksSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal2.91.8220.24.25.4−1.21.82.43.6
Cyrus AllenKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal3.11.9240.14.13.3+0.92.31.81.0
Calvin RidleyTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal3.51.6280.14.1––Did not play
Chris BellMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal3.42.2250.14.14.4−0.34.00.10.4
Darnell MooneyNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal3.01.7240.13.94.4−0.51.22.73.2
Jahan DotsonATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal3.01.7230.13.86.5−2.71.12.75.4
Rashod BatemanBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.71.7230.13.84.9−1.24.30.50.6
Isaiah BondCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal2.81.8220.13.80.4+3.4Did not play
Dohnte MeyersCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.81.7210.13.74.5−0.70.03.74.5
Tez JohnsonTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal2.41.4190.23.77.4−3.611.78.04.3
Jordan WatkinsSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal2.91.6190.23.76.2−2.57.13.40.9
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal2.41.7220.13.71.3+2.41.02.70.3
Elic AyomanorTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal3.51.7220.13.64.8−1.25.92.31.1
Kyle WilliamsNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal1.91.0230.13.63.6−0.00.03.63.6
Troy FranklinDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal2.61.5170.23.63.4+0.10.03.63.4
Isaiah WilliamsNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.9180.13.50.6+2.90.03.50.6
David Sills VTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal3.41.7170.13.51.6+1.90.03.51.6
Cedric TillmanNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal2.91.5180.23.50.0+3.5Did not play
Jaylin NoelHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal2.11.5220.13.57.1−3.60.72.86.4
Tutu AtwellLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal2.31.4190.13.47.0−3.6Did not play
David MooreCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal2.31.3180.23.40.0+3.40.03.40.0
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal2.11.6210.13.44.3−0.96.63.22.3
Malachi FieldsNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal3.21.5200.13.46.7−3.410.37.03.6
Jalen RoyalsKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal2.41.5190.13.35.9−2.60.03.35.9
Deion BurksIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.91.6200.13.30.0+3.31.61.71.6
Konata MumpfieldLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal3.01.3160.23.28.2−5.02.01.26.2
Chimere DikeTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal3.01.9160.13.22.3+0.90.03.22.3
Mitchell TinsleyCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.1170.13.10.0+3.11.21.91.2
Jalen TolbertMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.6180.13.10.6+2.5Did not play
Olamide ZaccheausATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal2.21.5180.13.12.5+0.7Did not play
Colbie YoungCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.31.3180.13.1––Did not play
CJ DanielsLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal2.01.3170.13.03.3−0.3Did not play
Laquon TreadwellIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.5190.12.94.7−1.82.90.01.8
Camden BrownDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal2.01.4170.12.8––Did not play
Kaden WetjenPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal1.91.3160.12.81.0+1.80.02.81.0
Brandon SmithPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal1.91.3160.12.83.1−0.33.40.60.3
Jordan WhittingtonLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal1.61.3160.12.86.7−3.90.02.86.7
Cody WhiteLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal1.71.1160.12.73.1−0.40.91.82.2
Bryce LanceNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal2.61.2160.12.74.2−1.52.20.52.0
Jahdae WalkerCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal1.71.0140.12.70.4+2.30.02.70.4
Tim PatrickNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.1150.12.61.3+1.4Did not play
Malik BensonLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal1.71.1150.12.41.0+1.50.02.41.0
Jeremiah WebbNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal1.61.1140.12.4––Did not play
Zachariah BranchATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal2.01.2140.12.42.6−0.22.20.20.4
J. Michael SturdivantGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal1.71.0140.12.40.5+1.90.02.40.5
Efton Chism IIINE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal1.61.0120.12.36.9−4.62.10.24.8
Montorie Foster Jr.SEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal1.71.1140.12.3––Did not play
Ashton DulinIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.11.1150.02.21.6+0.70.02.21.6
Zavion ThomasCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal1.71.0120.12.21.2+1.00.02.21.2
KaVontae TurpinDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMPrelim1.71.0130.12.21.9+0.3Did not play
Bo MeltonGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal1.40.9130.12.11.9+0.30.91.31.0
Jalin HyattNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.0140.02.1––Did not play
Jalen BrooksARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal2.00.9130.12.13.9−1.84.01.90.1
Britain CoveyPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal1.31.0130.02.03.2−1.20.02.03.2
Brycen TremayneCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal1.40.9120.12.03.6−1.60.02.03.6
Savion WilliamsGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal1.40.8100.12.06.3−4.46.64.60.3
Devontez WalkerBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal1.50.9110.12.01.6+0.4Did not play
Chris BlairATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal1.20.8110.01.80.0+1.80.01.80.0
Jacob CowingSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal1.40.9110.01.84.0−2.26.34.52.3
Barion BrownNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal1.30.8100.01.70.6+1.17.25.56.6
Jonathan MingoDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal1.70.890.11.62.1−0.50.01.62.1
Tylan WallaceCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.790.01.40.7+0.8Did not play
Ben SkowronekPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal1.10.780.01.43.0−1.6Did not play
Tai FeltonMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.680.01.20.8+0.40.01.20.8
Myles PriceMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.680.01.20.3+0.80.01.20.3
Dareke YoungLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal0.90.670.01.00.0+1.0Did not play
Malik CunninghamDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal0.70.460.00.9––Did not play
Kameron JohnsonTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal0.70.560.00.90.7+0.10.00.90.7
Irv CharlesSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal0.60.460.00.9––0.00.9–
LaJohntay WesterBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal0.70.450.00.80.0+0.82.01.22.0
Simi FehokoARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal0.70.340.00.8––Did not play
Nikko RemigioKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal0.70.450.00.70.0+0.70.00.70.0
Tay MartinDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal0.50.340.00.60.0+0.6Did not play
Charlie JonesNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal0.50.340.00.61.5−0.90.00.61.5
DeAndre CarterDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal0.30.220.00.30.0+0.30.00.30.0
Tight endsTE86 playersEFS MAE 3.27ESPN MAE 3.14EFS closer 30/65
PlayerOppKickoffStatusTgtRecRec YdsRec TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
George KittleSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal7.96.1840.514.713.9+0.712.81.81.1
Dallas GoedertPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal7.35.7720.412.38.8+3.57.35.01.5
Trey McBrideARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal9.16.7660.412.312.4−0.122.19.89.7
Brock BowersLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal7.95.7660.412.015.2−3.210.31.74.9
Sam LaPortaDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal5.74.2460.49.110.2−1.12.36.87.9
Travis KelceKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal6.24.3520.39.18.0+1.16.42.71.6
Tucker KraftGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal5.23.7470.48.89.7−0.912.84.03.1
Isaiah LikelyNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal6.34.2490.28.311.5−3.22.26.19.3
Colston LovelandCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal5.23.7440.38.19.4−1.416.48.36.9
Tyler WarrenIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal6.44.4450.27.70.0+7.7Did not play
Juwan JohnsonNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal5.33.8420.27.46.9+0.51.26.25.7
Harold Fannin Jr.CLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal5.43.7360.37.26.5+0.712.14.95.6
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal4.93.2390.26.77.9−1.210.74.02.8
Mark AndrewsBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal4.53.2390.26.56.3+0.13.82.72.5
Cade OttonTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal5.13.5330.26.46.1+0.30.06.46.1
Hunter HenryNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal4.32.9310.36.26.6−0.410.64.44.0
Dalton SchultzHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal4.73.3330.26.26.7−0.57.00.80.3
Tyler HigbeeLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal4.32.9280.36.06.5−0.62.43.64.2
Pat FreiermuthPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal3.82.8280.35.78.4−2.73.02.75.4
Darren WallerCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal3.52.3280.35.54.7+0.811.56.06.8
Colby ParkinsonLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal3.62.8230.35.57.7−2.27.31.80.4
T.J. HockensonMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal4.02.8280.25.48.1−2.711.56.13.4
AJ BarnerSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal4.23.0280.25.45.9−0.56.61.20.7
Michael MayerLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal4.02.9270.25.26.5−1.34.70.51.8
Jake FergusonDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal3.72.8260.25.14.6+0.40.05.14.6
Greg DulcichMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal4.02.5290.14.84.5+0.311.16.36.6
Grant CalcaterraPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal2.62.2300.14.70.0+4.7Did not play
Mason TaylorNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal3.52.5210.24.44.4+0.020.716.316.3
Darnell WashingtonPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal2.92.0220.24.37.2−2.96.92.70.3
Theo JohnsonNYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal3.22.0240.14.22.7+1.5Did not play
Kenyon SadiqNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal2.71.8190.23.84.2−0.51.12.63.1
Mike GesickiCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.7180.23.75.7−2.07.13.41.4
Evan EngramDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal2.92.2190.13.74.5−0.80.73.03.8
Mark RedmanGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal2.61.8180.13.60.5+3.10.03.60.5
Cameron LatuNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal2.41.8180.13.60.0+3.6Did not play
Gunnar HelmTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal3.02.4190.13.63.3+0.33.90.30.6
Noah GrayKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal2.81.9190.13.43.1+0.35.92.52.8
Cole KmetCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal2.31.7180.13.32.4+0.94.31.01.9
Gavin BartholomewMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.8180.13.31.1+2.12.21.01.1
Eli RaridonNE@ CHIThu 8:15 PMFinal2.11.5160.13.24.1−0.913.19.99.0
Tommy TrembleCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal2.61.7150.13.13.9−0.81.31.82.6
Jonnu SmithGB@ DETSun 4:25 PMFinal2.01.5160.13.01.5+1.51.41.60.1
Erick All Jr.CIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.31.9150.13.03.5−0.54.11.10.6
Elijah HigginsARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal2.01.6150.12.73.2−0.53.20.50.0
Will MalloryIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.11.4170.12.76.0−3.30.02.76.0
Jake BriningstoolKC@ SEASun 8:20 PMFinal2.11.5150.12.70.4+2.4Did not play
Davis AllenLAR@ LVSun 4:25 PMFinal2.01.5120.12.72.1+0.616.013.313.9
Noah FantNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal1.81.5150.12.72.1+0.62.10.60.0
Daniel BellingerTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.6150.12.62.2+0.50.91.71.3
Mitchell EvansCARvs TBSun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.5140.12.61.4+1.24.92.33.6
Austin HooperATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal2.01.4140.12.51.6+1.03.10.61.6
Josh CuevasBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.01.4130.12.41.2+1.24.52.13.3
Matthew HibnerBALvs CINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.01.4120.12.42.4−0.10.02.42.4
Foster MoreauHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal1.61.0130.12.43.1−0.8Did not play
Mo Alie-CoxIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.11.3140.12.42.2+0.20.02.42.2
Johnny MundtPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMFinal2.11.4120.12.21.2+1.0Did not play
Will KacmarekMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.3130.02.21.5+0.7Did not play
Teagan QuitorianoARIvs DENSun 4:05 PMFinal1.61.1100.12.10.5+1.6Did not play
Cade StoverHOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PMFinal1.61.3110.12.10.4+1.70.41.70.0
Robert TonyanPIT@ NOSun 9:30 AMFinal1.61.2120.12.1––Did not play
Adam TrautmanDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal1.61.1120.12.10.8+1.30.02.10.8
Jeremy RuckertNYJvs MIASun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.290.12.00.8+1.20.02.00.8
Nate AdkinsDEN@ ARISun 4:05 PMFinal1.61.290.11.91.4+0.60.01.91.4
Seydou TraoreMIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal1.41.1110.01.80.0+1.80.01.80.0
Carsen RyanCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal1.31.0100.11.80.0+1.8Did not play
Luke SchoonmakerDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal1.71.1100.01.80.4+1.4Did not play
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PMFinal1.41.0100.01.82.5−0.82.10.40.4
Sam RoushCHIvs NEThu 8:15 PMFinal1.41.180.11.70.4+1.3Did not play
Nick KallerupSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal1.20.9100.01.7––Did not play
Oscar DelpNOvs PITSun 9:30 AMFinal1.30.9100.01.60.4+1.30.70.90.3
Payne DurhamTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.890.11.60.8+0.8Did not play
Thomas Fidone IINYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PMFinal1.20.990.01.61.3+0.33.41.82.1
Ian ThomasLVvs LARSun 4:25 PMFinal1.40.880.11.60.9+0.71.30.30.4
Drew SampleCIN@ BALSun 1:00 PMFinal1.31.170.11.61.9−0.39.47.87.5
Drew OgletreeIND@ MINSun 1:00 PMFinal1.10.8100.01.50.6+0.92.20.71.6
Tyler ConklinDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal1.20.880.01.40.0+1.40.90.50.9
Luke FarrellSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal1.10.870.01.41.4−0.01.90.50.5
Ben YurosekMINvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.770.01.30.4+0.9Did not play
E.J. JenkinsPHIvs DALMon 8:15 PMPrelim0.90.780.01.3––Did not play
Eric SaubertSEAvs KCSun 8:20 PMFinal0.90.760.01.21.1+0.12.21.01.1
Charlie WoernerATLvs SFSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.760.01.10.7+0.51.70.61.0
Blake WhiteheartCLE@ TENSun 1:00 PMFinal0.80.660.01.11.0+0.1Did not play
Brock WrightDETvs GBSun 4:25 PMFinal0.80.650.01.01.4−0.4Did not play
Brayden WillisSF@ ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal0.70.550.00.8––Did not play
David Martin-RobinsonTENvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal0.50.440.00.7––Did not play
Ko KieftTB@ CARSun 1:00 PMFinal0.30.230.00.40.0+0.40.00.40.0

Scoring: half-PPR (passing 0.04/yd, 4/TD, −2/INT; rushing and receiving 0.1/yd, 6/TD; 0.5/reception).

Baseline: ESPN projections captured at the same time as each EFS update. Diff = EFS − ESPN.

Final: the last projection published before a player's kickoff. Evaluation scores Final projections; Initial is shown for reference.

← All weekly projections