Weekly Projections

Week 8 Stat Projections

2026 season · Oct 29–Nov 2 · Last updated Tue, Nov 3, 11:19 AM ET (Evaluation)

Week 8 Stat Projections, 2026
  1. Initial Wed, Oct 28, 9:18 PM ET Published
  2. Thursday final Thu, Oct 29, 3:56 PM ET Published
  3. Sunday final Sun, Nov 1, 9:15 AM ET Published
  4. Monday final Mon, Nov 2, 5:50 AM ET Published
  5. Evaluation Tue, Nov 3, 11:19 AM ET Latest
Key  Final locked before kickoff   Prelim will update before its game

Evaluation

How the Final projections did264 players, half-PPR EFS MAE 4.43 ESPN MAE 4.26 Initial MAE 4.37
MAE (pts)
4.43 ESPN 4.26
Average miss, lower is better
RMSE (pts)
6.12 ESPN 6.04
Penalizes big misses
Bias (pts)
0.15 ESPN 0.08
Above 0 means projected too high
R²
0.376 ESPN 0.392
Share of variance explained
Rank corr.
0.594 ESPN 0.601
Spearman within position
EFS closer than ESPN
125/264 47%
Player-by-player head to head
By position MAE, bias and head-to-head
PosNEFS Final MAEEFS Initial MAEESPN MAEEFS BiasESPN BiasEFS closer
QB 28 6.85 6.94 6.79 2.25 2.27 12/28
RB 64 5.64 5.55 4.98 -0.36 -0.22 25/64
WR 115 3.63 3.59 3.62 0.31 0.25 56/115
TE 57 3.50 3.37 3.50 -0.61 -0.98 32/57
By stat mean absolute error per stat line
StatNEFS MAEESPN MAE
Passing yards 28 72.7 72.2
Passing TD 28 1.01 0.97
Interceptions 28 0.70 0.69
Rush attempts 91 3.82 3.19
Rushing yards 91 21.7 19.8
Rushing TD 91 0.36 0.34
Targets 236 1.68 1.57
Receptions 236 1.35 1.33
Receiving yards 236 18.0 17.8
Receiving TD 236 0.26 0.25
Did the updates help? Initial vs Final
ProjectionMAERMSEBiasR²Rank corr.
EFS Final 4.43 6.12 0.15 0.376 0.594
EFS Initial 4.37 6.16 -0.32 0.368 0.583
ESPN Final 4.26 6.04 0.08 0.392 0.601
Largest misses by EFS absolute error
PlayerEFSESPNActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI 7.1 7.2 33.6 −26.5 −26.4
Lamar JacksonQB · BAL 20.5 22.4 0.0 +20.5 +22.4
Tee HigginsWR · CIN 13.0 13.1 32.5 −19.5 −19.4
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC 5.2 4.1 22.8 −17.6 −18.7
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAX 11.8 13.7 28.9 −17.0 −15.2
Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ 6.8 6.4 23.7 −16.9 −17.3
Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL 15.0 16.2 -1.9 +16.9 +18.1
Joe BurrowQB · CIN 22.8 23.1 39.5 −16.7 −16.3
Tony PollardRB · TEN 10.9 13.9 27.2 −16.3 −13.3
Zay FlowersWR · BAL 14.4 16.8 0.0 +14.4 +16.8

70 projected players did not play and are left out of these numbers.

Projections by position

QuarterbacksQB28 playersEFS MAE 6.85ESPN MAE 6.79EFS closer 12/28
PlayerOppKickoffStatusPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Joe BurrowCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal2812.80.790.122.823.1−0.339.516.716.3
Josh AllenBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2331.70.7270.922.523.9−1.426.64.12.6
Drake MayeNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal2782.10.8240.221.722.8−1.122.50.70.4
Trevor LawrenceJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal2382.20.7180.421.121.1+0.021.40.30.3
Lamar JacksonBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal2491.90.6290.220.522.4−1.90.020.522.4
Dak PrescottDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal2941.90.8110.119.319.5−0.219.80.50.3
Jordan LoveGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal2751.90.680.118.717.5+1.221.52.84.0
Matthew StaffordLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal2572.20.750.118.617.1+1.58.310.38.8
Jayden DanielsWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal2171.40.4360.218.222.9−4.715.03.37.9
Bryce YoungCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal2481.80.8120.217.917.2+0.710.47.56.8
Jacoby BrissettARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal2681.60.6130.117.615.8+1.83.514.112.4
Jared GoffDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2531.80.550.117.516.5+0.99.08.47.5
Kyler MurrayMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal2341.30.6240.116.417.4−1.017.91.40.4
Patrick MahomesKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal2491.30.7160.216.414.5+1.925.49.111.0
Aaron RodgersPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal2411.60.660.116.015.3+0.74.911.110.5
Geno SmithNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal2371.70.8110.015.918.6−2.718.02.10.6
Baker MayfieldTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal2141.70.8130.115.716.1−0.41.414.314.7
Bo NixDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal2241.20.6180.215.614.2+1.417.31.73.1
Caleb WilliamsCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal2261.20.4160.115.515.9−0.414.01.51.9
Justin HerbertLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal2351.10.6220.115.311.3+3.97.87.53.6
Kirk CousinsLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal2491.40.760.115.216.9−1.628.213.011.3
Michael Penix Jr.ATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal2371.20.580.115.016.2−1.2-1.916.918.1
Sam DarnoldSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal2371.50.880.014.914.8+0.115.50.60.8
Tanner McKeePHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal2431.50.950.114.812.6+2.29.05.83.6
Malik WillisMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal2150.90.7190.314.316.6−2.314.60.32.0
Deshaun WatsonCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal2031.00.7230.113.613.5+0.013.20.40.4
Cam WardTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal2070.90.5110.213.211.2+2.024.311.113.1
Daniel JonesIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal2180.80.7110.112.111.6+0.56.55.65.1
Running backsRB76 playersEFS MAE 5.64ESPN MAE 4.98EFS closer 25/64
PlayerOppKickoffStatusAttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Jahmyr GibbsDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal21.2861.03.9320.321.722.5−0.823.82.11.3
Bijan RobinsonATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal20.2890.94.0340.220.918.4+2.47.613.310.8
Rhamondre StevensonNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal15.8690.83.9350.319.114.4+4.810.58.63.9
Derrick HenryBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal20.3890.91.1100.116.418.2−1.813.03.45.2
Javonte WilliamsDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal19.5810.82.1130.116.219.1−2.96.210.012.9
Chase BrownCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal14.8610.43.9270.415.615.1+0.614.11.51.0
Ashton JeantyLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal17.7690.43.7300.215.414.6+0.88.86.65.8
Kyren WilliamsLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal13.9600.72.9230.215.116.3−1.212.42.73.9
D'Andre SwiftCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal19.1800.62.2160.115.113.3+1.826.911.813.6
Kenneth Walker IIIKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal16.2740.52.9220.114.918.4−3.510.44.58.0
Chuba HubbardCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal18.1780.71.8110.114.714.1+0.621.46.77.3
James Cook IIIBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal16.6730.61.8160.114.318.1−3.817.12.81.0
Jonathan TaylorIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal17.3690.72.5170.114.214.7−0.66.77.58.0
Quinshon JudkinsCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal16.3650.52.5150.112.510.1+2.45.96.64.2
Breece HallNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal14.2580.52.0170.112.214.2−2.0Did not play
Braelon AllenNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal16.0680.61.4110.112.216.0−3.722.310.16.3
Josh JacobsGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal12.8540.62.0160.112.213.8−1.520.28.06.4
Bhayshul TutenJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal14.5620.51.8110.211.813.7−1.828.917.015.2
Bucky IrvingTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal13.4540.33.0220.211.816.1−4.323.011.26.9
Jaylen WarrenPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal12.6570.22.9210.211.614.5−2.920.89.26.3
Aaron Jones Sr.MIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal13.3550.32.9190.111.49.2+2.35.06.44.2
Saquon BarkleyPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal11.8510.42.7180.111.212.9−1.711.90.81.0
Rico DowdlePITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal9.8390.33.5250.211.08.1+2.911.60.63.5
Tony PollardTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal15.2660.31.6110.110.913.9−3.027.216.313.3
TreVeyon HendersonNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal13.1570.51.390.110.86.0+4.8Did not play
Zach CharbonnetSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal12.8550.41.6130.110.49.8+0.64.46.05.4
Ollie Gordon IIMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal13.9580.50.750.09.713.6−3.86.92.86.7
Omarion HamptonLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal9.9420.32.5170.19.57.7+1.83.75.84.0
Jeremiyah LoveARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal12.9530.21.7130.19.410.4−1.02.37.18.1
Austin EkelerWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal8.2340.42.0140.18.73.1+5.63.65.10.5
Blake CorumLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal9.9440.41.180.18.610.9−2.313.34.72.4
Kenny GainwellTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal5.6230.13.3230.38.66.9+1.714.05.47.1
Emanuel WilsonSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal13.4550.30.860.08.36.4+1.9Did not play
J.K. DobbinsDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal13.4550.30.950.08.28.2−0.01.36.96.9
Kyle MonangaiCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMPrelim10.6450.30.980.18.17.9+0.2Did not play
RJ HarveyDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal4.3170.23.5240.28.07.5+0.5Did not play
Jordan MasonMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal10.4450.50.530.07.89.0−1.22.05.87.0
MarShawn LloydGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal7.3280.41.3100.17.54.3+3.32.15.42.2
Rachaad WhiteWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal9.3410.11.8120.17.511.2−3.713.05.51.8
Tyler AllgeierARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal8.7340.31.5100.17.17.2−0.133.626.526.4
Brian Robinson Jr.ATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal7.5310.50.670.06.95.5+1.4Did not play
Samaje PerineCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal7.4300.31.3100.16.96.8+0.02.44.54.4
Jaylen WrightMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal11.8470.20.740.06.94.3+2.60.56.43.8
Justice HillBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal4.0200.22.2170.26.85.5+1.35.51.30.0
Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal7.6320.50.540.06.76.1+0.612.35.66.2
Michael CarterTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal7.0290.12.1140.16.54.7+1.8Did not play
Kimani VidalLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal7.6320.21.6110.16.47.0−0.64.02.43.0
Dameon PiercePHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal7.5280.40.870.06.38.2−1.8Did not play
Ty JohnsonBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal3.3130.31.9170.16.35.0+1.33.82.51.2
Tyjae SpearsTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal5.5220.12.4160.16.15.7+0.5Did not play
Corey KinerNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal8.8370.20.870.05.88.6−2.83.82.04.8
Isaiah DavisNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal6.3260.30.640.05.36.7−1.41.53.85.2
Emmett JohnsonKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal5.5220.11.6100.15.24.1+1.122.817.618.7
Mike Washington Jr.LV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal6.7290.20.760.05.26.5−1.38.33.11.8
Sean TuckerTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal5.3220.30.640.05.11.8+3.30.05.11.8
Jeremy McNicholsWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal4.3170.21.6110.15.15.8−0.73.31.82.5
Dylan SampsonCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal4.8190.12.1130.15.05.5−0.59.94.94.4
Jonah ColemanDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal4.5190.21.4100.04.88.4−3.618.413.610.0
Khalil HerbertATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal5.4220.30.650.04.74.2+0.52.02.72.2
Elijah MitchellPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal4.3170.21.170.04.45.0−0.65.71.30.7
Jaydon BluePHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal5.5220.20.740.04.43.0+1.41.43.01.6
Keaton MitchellLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal4.0180.11.6120.14.34.9−0.63.80.51.1
Roschon JohnsonCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal4.2170.21.080.04.26.1−2.03.30.92.8
Cody SchraderDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal3.5140.11.280.04.01.7+2.30.04.01.7
Seth McGowanIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal4.7190.10.850.03.63.3+0.22.90.70.4
Pierre Strong Jr.GBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal4.1170.11.080.13.50.0+3.50.23.30.2
Ray DavisBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal3.6170.10.650.03.31.7+1.63.00.31.3
George HolaniSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMPrelim4.0160.10.860.03.34.0−0.70.92.43.1
Jaleel McLaughlinCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal3.1140.10.730.02.90.0+2.9Did not play
Demond ClaiborneMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal3.4130.10.640.02.80.0+2.8Did not play
Tyler GoodsonDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal3.5130.10.650.02.64.9−2.34.31.70.6
Trevor EtienneCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal4.1150.10.220.02.40.0+2.40.12.30.1
LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal2.4100.10.540.02.10.7+1.40.02.10.7
Sione VakiDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.390.10.220.01.83.0−1.27.55.74.5
Hunter LuepkeDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal–––0.640.00.91.4−0.50.00.91.4
Julius ChestnutTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal1.340.00.000.00.6––0.00.6–
Wide receiversWR145 playersEFS MAE 3.63ESPN MAE 3.61EFS closer 56/115
PlayerOppKickoffStatusTgtRecRec YdsRec TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal11.88.01080.719.017.8+1.220.81.83.1
Puka NacuaLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal10.77.6980.818.319.1−0.819.51.20.4
CeeDee LambDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal10.07.0940.616.416.8−0.49.37.17.5
Ja'Marr ChaseCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal8.96.2780.815.718.4−2.725.610.07.3
A.J. BrownNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal8.25.4830.614.713.6+1.1Did not play
Zay FlowersBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal8.45.9800.614.416.8−2.40.014.416.8
Amon-Ra St. BrownDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal9.26.5770.614.314.5−0.39.15.25.4
DeVonta SmithPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal8.76.0790.413.212.1+1.1Did not play
Tee HigginsCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal7.44.8690.613.013.1−0.032.519.519.4
George PickensDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal7.75.1740.412.611.6+1.05.86.85.8
Michael WilsonARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal8.85.6700.412.510.4+2.022.810.312.4
Justin JeffersonMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal8.05.5740.312.314.6−2.311.80.52.8
Garrett WilsonNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal8.75.7660.512.311.5+0.711.31.00.2
Parker WashingtonJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal7.44.4630.611.913.9−2.03.18.810.8
DK MetcalfPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal8.65.0670.411.710.3+1.50.910.89.3
Drake LondonATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal8.05.0680.411.615.1−3.51.310.313.8
Tetairoa McMillanCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal7.34.3630.511.413.0−1.58.82.64.2
Rashee RiceKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal7.55.4610.310.910.1+0.914.83.94.8
Christian WatsonGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal5.93.7640.410.612.2−1.515.34.73.1
DeMario DouglasNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal6.04.3570.410.29.4+0.915.14.95.7
Jalen CokerCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal6.14.3600.310.212.0−1.810.60.41.4
Jameson WilliamsDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal6.43.8600.410.29.3+0.815.04.85.7
Jaylen WaddleDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal6.94.4590.39.98.6+1.411.41.52.8
Jakobi MeyersJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal6.44.2500.49.79.2+0.63.46.35.8
Luther Burden IIICHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal6.54.6580.39.610.9−1.315.15.54.2
Matthew GoldenGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal6.23.8530.39.312.8−3.517.48.14.6
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal8.35.8500.29.37.6+1.714.75.47.1
Emeka EgbukaTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal6.93.6480.49.010.9−1.9Did not play
Ryan FlournoyDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal6.14.3500.38.97.5+1.411.62.74.1
Chris Godwin Jr.TBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal6.24.5490.38.98.6+0.30.08.98.6
Makai LemonPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal7.14.6480.38.77.7+1.08.70.01.0
Germie BernardPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal6.34.3460.38.58.5±0.05.53.03.0
Stefon DiggsWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal5.84.1440.38.310.3−2.011.33.01.0
DJ MooreBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal5.53.4440.38.111.4−3.416.68.55.2
Carnell TateTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal6.24.0480.27.99.4−1.5Did not play
Courtland SuttonDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal6.13.6460.37.98.0−0.27.30.60.7
Jordan AddisonMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal5.53.5470.27.98.1−0.38.10.20.0
Keenan AllenIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal6.74.6460.27.87.1+0.710.22.43.1
Rome OdunzeCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal5.93.2450.37.87.7+0.110.72.93.0
Khalil ShakirBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal5.03.7420.37.87.6+0.18.91.11.3
Denzel BostonCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal6.03.3460.27.79.7−2.16.71.03.0
Tre TuckerLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal5.53.3440.37.69.1−1.50.07.69.1
KC ConcepcionCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal6.44.1440.27.57.9−0.55.22.32.7
Josh DownsIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal6.14.0440.17.36.6+0.710.33.03.7
Ladd McConkeyLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal5.03.3430.27.38.4−1.010.63.32.2
Quentin JohnstonLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal5.73.2430.27.25.1+2.15.71.50.6
Xavier WorthyKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal5.53.4420.27.06.5+0.52.84.23.7
Adonai MitchellNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal5.12.9400.26.86.4+0.323.716.917.3
Malik WashingtonMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal5.53.6390.26.78.5−1.812.55.84.0
Cooper KuppSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal4.53.1380.26.66.6+0.07.20.60.6
Kendrick BourneARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal4.43.2390.26.56.4+0.13.43.13.0
Ted Hurst IIITBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal4.82.6370.26.48.7−2.30.06.48.7
Reggie VirgilARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal4.73.0370.26.42.9+3.40.06.42.9
Caleb DouglasMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal4.62.9360.26.37.7−1.46.30.01.4
Tre' HarrisLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal5.03.1390.16.24.7+1.54.61.60.1
Kyle WilliamsNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal3.22.1350.36.16.9−0.810.84.73.9
Jerry JeudyCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal5.13.2370.16.03.8+2.20.06.03.8
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal3.82.4330.25.86.8−1.01.84.05.0
Keon ColemanBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal3.82.3320.25.85.6+0.20.94.94.7
Omar Cooper Jr.NYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal3.82.5300.35.88.9−3.1Did not play
Elic AyomanorTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal4.92.6330.25.66.9−1.34.90.72.0
Hollywood BrownPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal4.52.5290.25.65.8−0.32.72.93.1
Brian Thomas Jr.JAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal3.52.1290.35.54.7+0.87.72.23.0
Kevin Coleman Jr.MIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal4.02.4330.25.51.9+3.612.16.610.2
Antonio WilliamsWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal3.92.5320.25.56.7−1.27.92.41.2
Rashid ShaheedSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMPrelim3.52.3340.15.46.7−1.3Did not play
Calvin RidleyTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal4.52.6330.15.35.9−0.71.53.84.4
Darius CooperPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal4.02.3290.25.27.6−2.42.92.34.7
Tory HortonSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal3.52.1280.25.25.1+0.14.11.11.0
John Metchie IIICAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal4.42.6260.25.23.7+1.42.92.30.8
Mitchell TinsleyCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal3.21.9260.25.01.7+3.3Did not play
Jauan JenningsMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal3.62.3280.25.02.5+2.42.12.90.4
David Sills VTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal4.02.3280.24.92.0+2.9Did not play
Jalen NailorLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal3.42.1300.14.96.1−1.211.86.95.7
Chris BellMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal3.82.3310.14.95.9−1.04.90.01.0
Dohnte MeyersCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal3.22.3240.24.94.9−0.04.90.00.0
Kalif RaymondCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal3.62.5280.14.83.6+1.26.31.52.7
Brenen ThompsonLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal3.72.3300.14.80.3+4.5Did not play
Treylon BurksWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal3.32.0280.24.87.8−3.09.64.81.8
Jahan DotsonATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal3.62.0300.14.76.3−1.510.55.84.3
Rashod BatemanBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal2.91.8260.24.75.5−0.82.72.02.8
Isaac TeSlaaDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal3.21.9270.24.65.1−0.4Did not play
Andrew ArmstrongKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal3.22.1260.14.61.5+3.00.04.61.5
Efton Chism IIINE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal2.82.0260.24.57.7−3.16.21.71.5
Brandon SmithPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal3.42.1260.14.52.9+1.7Did not play
Konata MumpfieldLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal3.21.8240.24.54.3+0.10.04.54.3
Dontayvion WicksPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal3.52.0270.14.46.7−2.3Did not play
Josh CameronJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal2.91.9210.24.34.8−0.50.04.34.8
Chimere DikeTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal3.52.3230.14.22.6+1.615.611.413.0
Isaiah WilliamsNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal3.12.1230.14.21.2+3.08.34.17.1
Savion WilliamsGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal3.11.8230.14.15.5−1.52.81.32.7
Elijah MoorePHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal3.62.1230.14.02.7+1.3Did not play
Troy FranklinDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal2.71.6200.23.83.5+0.30.83.02.7
Colbie YoungCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.5200.23.8––Did not play
Joshua PalmerBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.5220.13.72.2+1.50.03.72.2
Isaiah BondCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal3.01.8230.13.70.3+3.40.03.70.3
Tez JohnsonTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal2.61.4190.23.78.7−5.00.03.78.7
Jack BechLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal2.71.8220.13.62.8+0.9Did not play
Tutu AtwellLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal2.51.4200.23.62.8+0.86.22.63.4
Jared WayneMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal2.61.6220.13.51.4+2.1Did not play
Dyami BrownWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal2.51.5200.13.54.5−1.00.03.54.5
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal2.71.7200.13.51.1+2.41.52.00.4
Olamide ZaccheausATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.5190.13.32.6+0.70.92.41.7
Marvin Mims Jr.DENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal2.41.7190.13.34.4−1.13.90.60.5
Ryan MillerNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal1.91.2180.13.24.2−1.0Did not play
David MooreCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal2.01.2160.23.20.5+2.70.03.20.5
Jalen RoyalsKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal2.31.5180.13.13.4−0.30.92.22.5
KeAndre Lambert-SmithLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal2.31.5200.13.10.9+2.30.03.10.9
Cyrus AllenKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal2.41.5180.13.10.4+2.83.00.12.6
Kaden WetjenPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal2.11.4180.13.00.0+3.00.03.00.0
Laquon TreadwellIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal2.61.6200.03.04.6−1.62.30.72.3
CJ DanielsLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal1.91.3160.13.00.0+3.0Did not play
Jalen TolbertMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal2.41.5170.13.00.0+3.01.31.71.3
Dont'e Thornton Jr.LV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal2.81.2170.12.9––Did not play
Zachariah BranchATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal2.21.5170.12.82.4+0.40.02.82.4
Deion BurksIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal2.21.3180.12.72.0+0.70.72.01.3
Devontez WalkerBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal1.60.9150.12.71.5+1.1Did not play
Tim PatrickNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.1150.12.60.5+2.1Did not play
Cody WhiteLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal1.81.1150.12.62.1+0.5Did not play
Jeremiah WebbNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal1.71.1150.12.6––Did not play
Bo MeltonGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal1.71.1150.12.51.7+0.80.02.51.7
KaVontae TurpinDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.1130.12.42.1+0.3Did not play
Luke McCaffreyWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal1.71.1130.12.41.3+1.00.02.41.3
Jonathan MingoDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.0130.12.31.8+0.50.02.31.8
Malik BensonLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal1.61.1140.12.31.0+1.3Did not play
Jahdae WalkerCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMPrelim1.50.9130.12.3––0.02.3–
Jordan WhittingtonLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal1.41.0110.12.11.9+0.20.02.11.9
Zavion ThomasCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal1.61.1110.12.11.5+0.60.91.20.6
Brycen TremayneCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal1.51.0130.02.02.7−0.71.60.41.1
Greg DortchBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal1.31.090.12.00.0+2.00.02.00.0
Ashton DulinIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal1.80.9130.01.9––0.31.6–
J. Michael SturdivantGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal1.40.8110.11.90.0+1.92.10.22.1
Chris BlairATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.7100.01.50.0+1.5Did not play
Tai FeltonMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal1.20.890.01.50.8+0.7Did not play
Tylan WallaceCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal1.10.790.01.40.3+1.10.80.60.5
Ben SkowronekPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal1.10.780.01.4––Did not play
Myles PriceMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.780.01.30.0+1.30.01.30.0
Simi FehokoARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal0.70.560.01.01.9−0.92.21.20.3
LaJohntay WesterBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal0.80.550.00.80.5+0.40.00.80.5
Devin DuvernayARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal0.70.550.00.80.0+0.82.41.62.4
Irv CharlesSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal0.70.550.00.81.7−1.00.00.81.7
Nikko RemigioKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal0.60.340.00.60.0+0.60.00.60.0
Tay MartinDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal0.50.330.00.50.0+0.50.00.50.0
DeAndre CarterDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal0.20.120.00.20.0+0.20.00.20.0
Travis HunterJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal0.00.000.00.02.0−2.00.50.51.5
Tight endsTE85 playersEFS MAE 3.50ESPN MAE 3.50EFS closer 32/57
PlayerOppKickoffStatusTgtRecRec YdsRec TDEFS PtsESPN PtsDiffActualEFS ErrESPN Err
Trey McBrideARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal9.87.5740.514.113.8+0.316.72.62.9
Hunter HenryNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal6.95.3630.612.28.4+3.84.57.73.9
Brock BowersLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal7.85.5640.411.513.2−1.724.713.211.5
Dallas GoedertPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal7.65.5610.411.28.4+2.85.26.03.2
Colston LovelandCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal6.54.5500.39.09.4−0.410.01.00.6
Tucker KraftGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal5.23.7490.48.98.6+0.314.35.45.7
Travis KelceKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal6.14.3500.38.87.5+1.39.20.41.7
Brenton StrangeJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal5.13.8420.48.37.9+0.36.51.81.4
Sam LaPortaDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal5.43.8420.38.18.7−0.65.03.13.7
Harold Fannin Jr.CLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal6.44.3410.37.87.0+0.820.412.613.4
Tyler WarrenIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal6.44.6420.27.68.9−1.33.83.85.1
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal5.33.5420.27.38.3−1.11.65.76.7
Mark AndrewsBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal4.53.3390.37.37.7−0.52.94.44.8
Eli RaridonNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal4.23.2380.37.36.7+0.61.06.35.7
T.J. HockensonMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal5.53.9360.27.08.7−1.713.86.85.1
Cade OttonTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal5.13.5340.36.75.9+0.8Did not play
Tyler HigbeeLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal4.63.1320.36.67.0−0.41.94.75.1
Pat FreiermuthPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal4.53.2320.36.47.0−0.610.64.23.6
Dalton KincaidBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal3.82.8360.26.47.2−0.816.610.29.4
AJ BarnerSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal4.53.3300.26.06.8−0.73.32.83.5
Colby ParkinsonLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal3.93.0250.35.97.1−1.2Did not play
Chig OkonkwoWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal4.23.2310.25.86.5−0.84.21.62.3
Mason TaylorNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal4.12.9280.25.77.1−1.43.42.33.7
Jake FergusonDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal3.82.9270.35.74.4+1.3Did not play
Oronde GadsdenLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal4.02.8330.15.63.0+2.57.72.14.7
Darren WallerCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal3.52.3290.35.54.4+1.11.63.92.8
Max KlareLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal3.62.5270.35.53.0+2.5Did not play
Greg DulcichMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal4.33.0320.15.46.3−0.96.30.90.0
Mike GesickiCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal3.22.3250.35.36.8−1.515.610.38.8
Michael MayerLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal4.02.9280.25.35.7−0.57.82.52.1
Darnell WashingtonPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal3.42.4240.24.75.4−0.810.96.25.5
Gunnar HelmTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal3.82.9240.14.53.6+0.910.15.66.5
Eli StowersPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal3.62.5240.14.41.3+3.16.82.45.5
Kenyon SadiqNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal3.12.2220.14.24.0+0.22.71.51.3
Cameron LatuNE@ MIASun 4:25 PMFinal2.51.9190.23.80.0+3.8Did not play
Dawson KnoxBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.51.8190.23.82.9+0.81.12.71.8
Evan EngramDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal3.02.1190.13.64.0−0.40.03.64.0
Gavin BartholomewMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal2.72.0180.13.42.0+1.4Did not play
Noah GrayKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal2.61.9200.13.42.9+0.58.55.15.7
Daniel BellingerTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal2.41.9190.13.32.3+1.05.11.82.8
Elijah HigginsARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal2.52.0180.13.33.4−0.12.01.31.4
Josh CuevasBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal2.11.5160.13.21.4+1.82.01.20.6
Charlie KolarLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal2.31.7180.13.23.6−0.42.50.71.1
Davis AllenLARvs LACSun 4:05 PMFinal2.11.5140.23.14.0−0.91.81.32.2
Tommy TrembleCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal2.61.7150.13.13.4−0.32.40.71.0
Nate BoerkircherJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.4140.12.92.4+0.59.66.77.2
Mark RedmanGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal1.91.4140.12.60.5+2.2Did not play
Jelani WoodsNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal1.81.3140.12.61.4+1.20.02.61.4
Jonnu SmithGBvs CARThu 8:15 PMFinal1.71.2130.12.61.4+1.2Did not play
Mitchell EvansCAR@ GBThu 8:15 PMFinal1.81.5150.12.62.3+0.33.20.60.9
Austin HooperATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.3150.12.61.6+0.91.41.20.3
Matthew HibnerBAL@ BUFSun 1:00 PMFinal1.61.1120.12.51.4+1.10.02.51.4
Brevyn Spann-FordDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.4140.12.52.6−0.15.12.62.5
Brock WrightDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.4130.12.40.8+1.7Did not play
Jack EndriesCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal1.61.2120.12.41.1+1.36.64.25.5
Teagan QuitorianoARI@ DALSun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.2110.12.40.5+1.8Did not play
Jake BriningstoolKC@ DENSun 4:25 PMFinal1.81.3130.12.4––1.11.3–
Drew SampleCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal1.61.390.12.33.1−0.8Did not play
Tanner KoziolJAXvs INDSun 1:00 PMFinal1.51.2120.12.30.0+2.31.31.01.3
Robert TonyanPITvs CLESun 1:00 PMFinal1.81.3130.12.3––Did not play
Will MalloryIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.3130.02.21.2+1.1Did not play
Will KacmarekMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal1.71.3130.12.21.7+0.60.02.21.7
Mo Alie-CoxIND@ JAXSun 1:00 PMFinal1.91.4120.12.20.8+1.4Did not play
John BatesWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal1.71.3110.12.21.3+0.90.02.21.3
Seydou TraoreMIAvs NESun 4:25 PMFinal1.61.3130.12.20.3+1.90.02.20.3
Sam RoushCHI@ SEAMon 8:15 PMFinal1.61.2100.12.01.5+0.5Did not play
Jeremy RuckertNYJvs LVSun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.290.11.90.4+1.5Did not play
Luke SchoonmakerDALvs ARISun 1:00 PMFinal1.71.2100.11.90.5+1.5Did not play
Nate AdkinsDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal1.51.190.11.90.8+1.07.45.56.6
Adam TrautmanDENvs KCSun 4:25 PMFinal1.51.0100.11.91.2+0.64.02.12.8
Ian ThomasLV@ NYJSun 1:00 PMFinal1.51.1100.11.90.9+0.9Did not play
Eric SaubertSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMFinal1.41.090.11.70.8+0.9Did not play
Ben SinnottWASvs PHISun 8:20 PMFinal1.30.990.11.7––Did not play
Cam GrandyCINvs TENSun 1:00 PMFinal1.10.880.11.6––Did not play
Hayden RucciLAC@ LARSun 4:05 PMFinal1.10.890.11.60.3+1.2Did not play
Jackson HawesBUFvs BALSun 1:00 PMFinal1.10.870.11.50.4+1.11.20.30.8
Nick KallerupSEAvs CHIMon 8:15 PMPrelim1.10.990.01.5––Did not play
Charlie WoernerATL@ TBSun 1:00 PMFinal1.10.880.01.40.7+0.60.01.40.7
Ben YurosekMIN@ DETSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.780.01.30.4+0.92.91.62.5
Payne DurhamTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal0.80.670.11.30.4+0.9Did not play
Johnny MundtPHI@ WASSun 8:20 PMFinal1.30.870.01.30.4+0.9Did not play
Tyler ConklinDETvs MINSun 1:00 PMFinal1.00.770.01.20.4+0.81.20.00.8
Blake WhiteheartCLE@ PITSun 1:00 PMFinal0.90.760.01.20.6+0.51.40.20.8
David Martin-RobinsonTEN@ CINSun 1:00 PMFinal0.50.440.00.7––0.00.7–
Ko KieftTBvs ATLSun 1:00 PMFinal0.30.220.00.3––0.00.3–

Scoring: half-PPR (passing 0.04/yd, 4/TD, −2/INT; rushing and receiving 0.1/yd, 6/TD; 0.5/reception).

Baseline: ESPN projections captured at the same time as each EFS update. Diff = EFS − ESPN.

Final: the last projection published before a player's kickoff. Evaluation scores Final projections; Initial is shown for reference.

← All weekly projections