Weekly Projections

Week 9 Stat Projections

2026 season · Nov 5–Nov 9 · Last updated Tue, Nov 10, 6:58 PM ET (Evaluation)

Initial Tue, Nov 3, 11:20 AM ET Published
Thursday final Thu, Nov 5, 5:39 PM ET Published
Sunday final Mon, Nov 9, 12:44 PM ET Published
Monday final Mon, Nov 9, 1:28 PM ET Published
Evaluation Tue, Nov 10, 6:58 PM ET Latest

Key Final locked before kickoff Prelim will update before its game

How the Final projections did296 players, half-PPR EFS MAE 4.07 ESPN MAE 3.88 Initial MAE 4.08

MAE (pts)

4.07 ESPN 3.88

Average miss, lower is better

RMSE (pts)

5.57 ESPN 5.33

Penalizes big misses

Bias (pts)

0.49 ESPN 0.60

Above 0 means projected too high

R²

0.408 ESPN 0.457

Share of variance explained

Rank corr.

0.659 ESPN 0.672

Spearman within position

EFS closer than ESPN

134/296 45%

Player-by-player head to head

By position MAE, bias and head-to-head

Pos	N	EFS Final MAE	EFS Initial MAE	ESPN MAE	EFS Bias	ESPN Bias	EFS closer
QB	30	6.72	6.62	6.62	2.19	2.21	12/30
RB	76	4.30	4.31	3.91	1.21	1.44	35/76
WR	127	3.91	3.93	3.83	-0.23	-0.02	60/127
TE	63	2.86	2.90	2.66	0.26	0.08	27/63

By stat mean absolute error per stat line

Stat	N	EFS MAE	ESPN MAE
Passing yards	30	59.5	57.3
Passing TD	30	0.88	0.91
Interceptions	30	0.83	0.80
Rush attempts	106	3.15	2.71
Rushing yards	106	18.3	15.4
Rushing TD	106	0.32	0.30
Targets	266	1.46	1.41
Receptions	266	1.13	1.09
Receiving yards	266	16.3	15.8
Receiving TD	266	0.23	0.23

Did the updates help? Initial vs Final

Projection	MAE	RMSE	Bias	R²	Rank corr.
EFS Final	4.07	5.57	0.49	0.408	0.659
EFS Initial	4.08	5.55	0.47	0.412	0.648
ESPN Final	3.88	5.33	0.60	0.457	0.672

Largest misses by EFS absolute error

Player	EFS	ESPN	Actual	EFS Err	ESPN Err
Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU	4.0	3.7	26.5	−22.5	−22.8
C.J. StroudQB · HOU	16.7	17.2	35.4	−18.7	−18.2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC	16.5	21.5	34.3	−17.8	−12.8
Matthew GoldenWR · GB	9.8	14.5	27.4	−17.6	−12.9
Jordan LoveQB · GB	17.3	17.4	34.2	−16.9	−16.8
Christian WatsonWR · GB	9.8	12.9	26.6	−16.8	−13.7
Bucky IrvingRB · TB	11.0	14.5	26.5	−15.5	−12.0
Carson WentzQB · MIN	14.4	16.1	-0.8	+15.2	+16.8
Jared GoffQB · DET	20.1	19.7	5.3	+14.8	+14.4
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI	17.2	17.3	3.1	+14.1	+14.2

63 projected players did not play and are left out of these numbers.

QuarterbacksQB36 playersEFS MAE 6.72ESPN MAE 6.62EFS closer 12/30

Player	Opp	Kickoff	Status	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EFS Pts	ESPN Pts	Diff	Actual	EFS Err	ESPN Err
Joe BurrowCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	281	2.4	0.7	9	0.1	21.2	21.6	−0.4	29.5	8.4	7.9
Drake MayeNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	268	1.9	0.8	22	0.3	20.4	21.3	−0.9	18.3	2.1	3.0
Brock PurdySF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	269	2.0	0.8	18	0.3	20.3	22.3	−2.0	25.3	5.0	3.0
Josh AllenBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	230	1.4	0.7	27	0.7	20.3	20.2	+0.1	12.9	7.4	7.3
Jared GoffDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	272	2.2	0.5	5	0.1	20.1	19.7	+0.3	5.3	14.8	14.4
Trevor LawrenceJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	241	1.9	0.7	16	0.3	18.9	20.6	−1.6	13.6	5.3	7.0
Jayden DanielsWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	220	1.5	0.4	32	0.3	18.6	19.9	−1.3	16.5	2.1	3.4
Dak PrescottDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	266	1.9	0.8	11	0.1	18.5	19.1	−0.7	21.5	3.0	2.4
Patrick MahomesKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	259	1.7	0.7	14	0.2	18.4	18.3	+0.1	18.5	0.0	0.1
Matthew StaffordLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	257	2.1	0.7	5	0.1	18.2	17.1	+1.1	11.2	7.0	5.8
Caleb WilliamsCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	229	1.7	0.4	16	0.2	17.9	17.2	+0.7	12.8	5.1	4.4
Jordan LoveGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	270	1.6	0.7	8	0.1	17.3	17.4	−0.1	34.2	16.9	16.8
Tyler ShoughNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	252	1.4	0.7	17	0.3	17.3	15.6	+1.7	19.7	2.4	4.1
Drew LockSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	261	1.6	0.8	9	0.2	17.1	17.1	+0.1	12.6	4.5	4.5
Bo NixDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	227	1.5	0.6	19	0.2	16.9	15.9	+1.0	15.7	1.3	0.3
C.J. StroudHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	257	1.4	0.5	10	0.1	16.7	17.2	−0.5	35.4	18.7	18.2
Malik WillisMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	229	1.3	0.8	19	0.3	16.5	17.7	−1.2	3.8	12.6	13.9
Kyler MurrayMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Prelim	237	1.2	0.6	23	0.1	16.2	0.0	+16.2	Did not play
Sam DarnoldSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	247	1.7	0.8	9	0.0	16.2	15.8	+0.3	Did not play
Bryce YoungCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	229	1.5	0.8	12	0.1	15.8	16.0	−0.3	22.3	6.6	6.3
Kirk CousinsLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	252	1.4	0.7	6	0.1	15.7	15.1	+0.6	12.6	3.0	2.4
Shedeur SandersCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	219	1.5	0.8	12	0.2	15.7	15.3	+0.3	22.7	7.0	7.3
Michael Penix Jr.ATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	236	1.4	0.7	9	0.2	15.5	16.1	−0.6	13.5	2.0	2.6
Baker MayfieldTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	209	1.6	0.7	13	0.1	15.3	13.3	+2.0	5.7	9.6	7.5
Deshaun WatsonCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	211	1.2	0.7	24	0.1	15.2	0.0	+15.2	Did not play
J.J. McCarthyNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	230	1.0	0.8	15	0.3	14.8	17.6	−2.8	7.3	7.5	10.3
Justin HerbertLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	231	1.0	0.6	20	0.1	14.7	13.0	+1.7	10.4	4.3	2.6
Geno SmithNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	240	1.4	0.8	10	0.0	14.6	14.3	+0.3	7.4	7.2	6.9
Carson WentzMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	225	1.2	0.7	13	0.1	14.4	16.1	−1.6	-0.8	15.2	16.8
Jacoby BrissettARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	250	1.0	0.6	11	0.1	14.4	0.0	+14.4	Did not play
Daniel JonesIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	226	1.1	0.8	13	0.2	14.4	13.8	+0.6	10.3	4.1	3.4
Tyler HuntleyBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	194	1.1	0.7	19	0.2	13.7	–	–	Did not play
Joe FagnanoBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	224	1.1	0.7	13	0.1	13.6	9.2	+4.4	-0.3	13.9	9.5
Tanner McKeePHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	235	1.2	0.9	7	0.1	13.4	12.1	+1.3	Did not play
Joe Milton IIIPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	203	1.1	0.8	13	0.1	13.2	14.2	−1.0	13.2	0.1	1.1
Gardner Minshew IIARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	236	0.8	0.8	6	0.0	11.8	12.3	−0.5	7.0	4.7	5.2

Running backsRB94 playersEFS MAE 4.30ESPN MAE 3.91EFS closer 35/76

Player	Opp	Kickoff	Status	Att	Rush Yds	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EFS Pts	ESPN Pts	Diff	Actual	EFS Err	ESPN Err
Jahmyr GibbsDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	22.7	95	1.1	4.2	36	0.4	24.4	24.3	+0.1	13.4	11.0	10.9
Bijan RobinsonATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	20.6	91	1.2	4.1	35	0.2	23.0	18.1	+4.9	23.7	0.7	5.6
Christian McCaffreySF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	14.1	60	0.6	5.2	49	0.5	20.1	19.7	+0.4	21.7	1.6	2.0
D'Andre SwiftCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	19.1	79	1.0	2.1	15	0.1	17.2	17.3	−0.1	3.1	14.1	14.2
Jonathan TaylorIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	18.9	78	1.0	2.4	16	0.1	16.9	18.4	−1.5	8.9	8.0	9.5
Kenneth Walker IIIKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	17.1	74	0.7	3.0	23	0.2	16.5	21.5	−4.9	34.3	17.8	12.8
Javonte WilliamsDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	17.1	72	0.7	2.2	13	0.1	14.7	16.6	−1.9	20.4	5.7	3.8
Chase BrownCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	13.7	56	0.3	4.1	28	0.3	14.6	14.3	+0.3	9.0	5.6	5.3
Devin SingletaryNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	22.1	92	0.6	1.4	9	0.0	14.4	12.3	+2.2	4.9	9.5	7.4
Kyren WilliamsLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	13.5	60	0.6	2.9	23	0.2	14.3	15.4	−1.0	7.6	6.7	7.8
Quinshon JudkinsCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	18.9	76	0.6	2.1	14	0.1	14.0	13.3	+0.8	5.0	9.0	8.3
Rhamondre StevensonNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	11.1	49	0.5	3.1	28	0.2	13.5	13.3	+0.2	15.3	1.8	2.0
Ashton JeantyLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	14.6	58	0.2	3.6	30	0.2	13.3	12.5	+0.8	4.5	8.8	8.0
James Cook IIIBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	15.5	68	0.6	1.8	15	0.1	13.2	17.7	−4.6	16.7	3.5	1.0
Cam SkatteboNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	16.2	69	0.5	2.2	17	0.1	13.0	13.2	−0.2	Did not play
Derrick HenryBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	18.6	80	0.5	1.1	9	0.0	12.6	13.4	−0.9	5.6	7.0	7.8
Josh JacobsGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	13.6	56	0.5	2.1	17	0.1	12.3	14.6	−2.3	0.5	11.8	14.1
Woody MarksHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	19.9	79	0.4	1.3	11	0.1	12.3	13.5	−1.2	7.9	4.4	5.6
Bhayshul TutenJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	15.4	65	0.4	1.8	11	0.1	11.9	14.3	−2.3	8.9	3.0	5.4
Chuba HubbardCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	14.5	62	0.4	2.0	13	0.1	11.6	16.3	−4.8	11.6	0.0	4.7
Ollie Gordon IIMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	16.0	66	0.6	0.8	5	0.0	11.3	15.7	−4.4	6.9	4.3	8.8
Breece HallNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	13.5	56	0.3	2.1	17	0.1	11.0	9.6	+1.4	10.2	0.8	0.6
Bucky IrvingTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	13.5	57	0.3	2.2	16	0.1	11.0	14.5	−3.6	26.5	15.5	12.0
Aaron Jones Sr.MIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	13.1	54	0.2	2.8	19	0.1	10.8	7.5	+3.4	2.6	8.2	4.9
Zach CharbonnetSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	10.9	47	0.5	1.7	14	0.1	10.5	10.2	+0.3	9.1	1.4	1.1
Saquon BarkleyPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	13.3	58	0.3	1.8	13	0.1	10.4	11.9	−1.4	8.2	2.3	3.7
Tyler AllgeierARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	14.4	60	0.4	1.7	11	0.0	10.3	11.7	−1.4	5.6	4.8	6.1
Austin EkelerWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	9.8	40	0.5	2.2	16	0.1	10.3	6.3	+4.0	4.4	5.9	1.9
TreVeyon HendersonNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	10.9	47	0.4	1.3	11	0.1	9.7	5.5	+4.1	Did not play
Rachaad WhiteWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	10.6	45	0.3	2.1	15	0.1	9.5	10.6	−1.1	7.9	1.6	2.7
Omarion HamptonLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	10.4	42	0.3	2.5	17	0.1	9.3	8.1	+1.2	6.0	3.3	2.1
Kyle MonangaiCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	10.5	45	0.4	1.2	9	0.1	9.0	8.8	+0.2	Did not play
Alvin KamaraNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	12.1	48	0.2	1.8	13	0.1	8.9	10.5	−1.6	6.4	2.5	4.1
J.K. DobbinsDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	13.9	59	0.3	0.8	5	0.0	8.5	7.6	+0.9	2.7	5.8	4.9
Blake CorumLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	9.5	42	0.4	1.0	7	0.1	8.4	9.3	−1.0	11.8	3.4	2.5
Jadarian PriceSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	10.2	43	0.1	1.9	17	0.1	8.2	10.2	−2.0	9.8	1.6	0.4
Jeremiyah LoveARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	11.2	45	0.1	1.9	14	0.1	8.1	8.8	−0.8	Did not play
Kenny GainwellTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	6.5	28	0.1	2.6	17	0.2	7.8	7.3	+0.4	9.1	1.3	1.8
Bam KnightARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	9.4	39	0.2	1.9	14	0.1	7.7	7.1	+0.5	Did not play
Brian Robinson Jr.ATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	7.7	32	0.5	0.7	7	0.0	7.2	5.6	+1.6	Did not play
David MontgomeryHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	9.8	39	0.3	0.8	7	0.0	7.2	11.2	−3.9	Did not play
Braelon AllenNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.7	29	0.3	1.6	13	0.1	7.1	8.2	−1.1	6.4	0.7	1.8
Jaylen WrightMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	11.5	47	0.3	0.7	5	0.0	7.1	4.7	+2.3	Did not play
Jordan MasonMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	10.3	45	0.3	0.5	3	0.0	6.8	7.7	−0.9	5.2	1.6	2.5
MarShawn LloydGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	7.2	28	0.3	1.3	9	0.1	6.6	3.3	+3.3	Did not play
Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	7.7	33	0.4	0.5	4	0.0	6.5	5.4	+1.1	10.2	3.7	4.8
Kaytron AllenMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	10.2	41	0.2	0.6	5	0.0	6.5	4.5	+2.0	5.0	1.5	0.5
Jonah ColemanDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.8	25	0.3	1.7	10	0.1	6.5	13.1	−6.6	16.8	10.3	3.7
Kimani VidalLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	7.5	31	0.2	1.6	12	0.1	6.4	8.0	−1.6	4.1	2.3	3.9
Lan LarisonNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	5.8	23	0.2	1.4	12	0.1	6.1	1.2	+4.9	0.4	5.7	0.8
Kaelon BlackSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	8.0	34	0.2	1.0	8	0.0	6.0	10.3	−4.4	7.0	1.0	3.3
Audric EstimeNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	8.8	36	0.2	0.7	5	0.0	5.9	10.6	−4.7	14.2	8.3	3.6
Kendre MillerNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	7.8	31	0.2	1.0	7	0.0	5.8	8.8	−3.0	Did not play
Dylan SampsonCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.2	22	0.1	2.1	15	0.1	5.7	7.3	−1.6	6.3	0.6	1.0
Justice HillBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	3.7	18	0.1	2.4	16	0.1	5.7	4.6	+1.1	16.7	11.0	12.1
Samaje PerineCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	6.4	26	0.2	1.1	9	0.1	5.7	5.5	+0.2	4.3	1.4	1.2
Emmett JohnsonKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.2	21	0.2	1.4	9	0.1	5.4	6.3	−0.9	9.4	4.0	3.1
Ty JohnsonBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	3.1	13	0.2	1.8	15	0.1	5.3	4.5	+0.8	4.7	0.6	0.2
Mike Washington Jr.LV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	7.6	31	0.1	0.5	4	0.0	4.8	6.7	−1.9	-0.3	5.1	7.0
Anthony Tyus IIICAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.7	23	0.3	0.6	4	0.0	4.7	0.0	+4.7	0.0	4.7	0.0
Keaton MitchellLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.3	18	0.1	1.8	13	0.1	4.6	5.5	−0.8	8.2	3.6	2.7
Sean TuckerTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	5.1	21	0.3	0.4	3	0.0	4.6	0.6	+4.0	0.0	4.6	0.6
Elijah MitchellPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.9	20	0.2	1.1	7	0.0	4.4	7.8	−3.4	4.1	0.3	3.7
George HolaniSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	4.2	17	0.1	1.0	8	0.0	4.1	3.2	+0.9	0.0	4.1	3.2
Evan HullARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	7.3	28	0.1	0.5	3	0.0	4.0	2.9	+1.2	0.0	4.0	2.9
Khalil HerbertATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	5.4	22	0.1	0.7	5	0.0	4.0	4.5	−0.5	1.9	2.1	2.6
Roschon JohnsonCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	4.4	18	0.2	0.7	5	0.0	4.0	4.9	−0.9	0.0	4.0	4.9
Seth McGowanIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.4	23	0.1	0.5	4	0.0	3.8	4.5	−0.6	10.7	6.9	6.2
Corey KinerNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	6.2	26	0.1	0.4	4	0.0	3.8	5.3	−1.5	11.5	7.7	6.2
Jaydon BluePHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.3	22	0.1	0.5	4	0.0	3.8	1.3	+2.5	0.0	3.8	1.3
Jordan JamesSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	3.9	17	0.1	0.7	5	0.0	3.6	0.0	+3.6	1.1	2.5	1.1
Cody SchraderDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.3	14	0.1	0.8	6	0.0	3.3	0.7	+2.6	0.0	3.3	0.7
CJ DonaldsonNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.0	17	0.1	0.8	6	0.0	3.3	2.3	+1.0	Did not play
Pierre Strong Jr.GB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	3.4	13	0.1	1.0	8	0.0	3.1	0.4	+2.8	4.3	1.2	3.9
Dare OgunbowaleHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	2.6	9	0.2	0.5	4	0.0	3.1	3.3	−0.2	0.8	2.3	2.5
Kyle JuszczykSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	0.0	0	0.0	1.4	14	0.1	3.0	3.0	−0.1	0.4	2.6	2.6
Patrick RicardNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.2	13	0.1	0.6	4	0.0	2.9	0.3	+2.6	Did not play
Ray DavisBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	3.3	15	0.1	0.5	4	0.0	2.8	1.5	+1.3	0.2	2.6	1.3
Tyler GoodsonDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.3	13	0.1	0.7	5	0.0	2.7	5.1	−2.4	7.7	5.0	2.6
Hunter LuepkeDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.2	9	0.1	0.7	5	0.0	2.5	0.7	+1.7	Did not play
Ronnie RiversLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.9	13	0.1	0.5	3	0.0	2.3	0.0	+2.3	0.0	2.3	0.0
Sione VakiDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.1	13	0.1	0.1	1	0.0	2.2	4.1	−2.0	3.1	0.9	1.0
LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	2.3	8	0.1	0.5	4	0.0	2.0	1.1	+0.9	0.0	2.0	1.1
Max BredesonMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	0.1	0	0.0	1.0	7	0.0	1.8	0.3	+1.4	Did not play
Jacob SaylorsDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.3	6	0.1	0.2	2	0.0	1.6	0.0	+1.6	Did not play
Trevor EtienneCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.7	9	0.1	0.2	2	0.0	1.6	2.5	−0.9	0.7	0.9	1.8
Dylan LaubeLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.3	5	0.1	0.2	2	0.0	1.5	0.0	+1.5	0.0	1.5	0.0
DeeJay DallasMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	1.5	7	0.1	0.4	3	0.0	1.5	1.5	−0.1	0.7	0.8	0.8
Tahj BrooksCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	1.9	7	0.1	0.1	1	0.0	1.2	0.0	+1.2	0.0	1.2	0.0
Michael BurtonCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.2	1	0.1	0.3	2	0.0	1.0	0.3	+0.7	Did not play
Kene NwangwuNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.3	5	0.1	0.1	1	0.0	0.9	0.0	+0.9	0.0	0.9	0.0
Connor HeywardLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	0.8	3	0.1	0.0	0	0.0	0.8	0.6	+0.2	Did not play
Brady RussellSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	0.1	0	0.1	0.3	3	0.0	0.7	0.3	+0.4	Did not play
Adam PrenticeDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.1	1	0.0	0.1	1	0.0	0.3	0.3	−0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3

Wide receiversWR149 playersEFS MAE 3.91ESPN MAE 3.83EFS closer 60/127

Player	Opp	Kickoff	Status	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EFS Pts	ESPN Pts	Diff	Actual	EFS Err	ESPN Err
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	11.5	8.0	109	0.7	18.9	18.9	+0.0	8.6	10.3	10.3
Puka NacuaLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	10.6	7.7	98	0.8	18.1	20.0	−1.9	30.0	11.9	10.0
CeeDee LambDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	11.2	7.7	102	0.7	18.1	17.7	+0.4	30.5	12.4	12.8
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	9.6	7.1	85	0.7	16.2	16.9	−0.7	12.6	3.6	4.3
A.J. BrownNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	8.5	5.6	89	0.6	15.0	11.3	+3.7	Did not play
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	8.9	6.2	79	0.7	14.9	18.9	−4.0	26.5	11.6	7.6
Justin JeffersonMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	9.0	6.0	79	0.4	13.3	15.1	−1.8	7.3	6.0	7.8
Tee HigginsCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	7.5	4.9	71	0.6	12.9	13.9	−1.0	17.7	4.8	3.8
Rashee RiceKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	8.0	6.0	68	0.5	12.6	11.3	+1.3	7.4	5.2	3.9
Chris OlaveNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	8.8	5.8	73	0.4	12.6	11.3	+1.3	13.3	0.7	2.0
George PickensDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	7.8	5.0	72	0.5	12.4	11.0	+1.4	Did not play
Zay FlowersBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	9.0	6.0	74	0.3	12.4	10.6	+1.8	3.8	8.6	6.8
Garrett WilsonNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	8.8	5.6	67	0.4	11.9	10.1	+1.8	Did not play
Michael WilsonARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	9.4	5.9	73	0.3	11.8	10.7	+1.0	9.0	2.8	1.7
Drake LondonATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	7.9	4.9	66	0.4	11.7	13.8	−2.1	9.3	2.4	4.5
Malik NabersNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	8.7	5.5	69	0.3	11.6	14.3	−2.6	6.8	4.8	7.5
Parker WashingtonJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	7.5	4.5	64	0.5	11.4	10.9	+0.5	13.1	1.7	2.2
Nico CollinsHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	7.1	4.4	67	0.3	10.9	11.5	−0.6	13.5	2.6	2.0
Jameson WilliamsDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.9	3.8	61	0.5	10.9	11.8	−1.0	4.5	6.4	7.3
Tetairoa McMillanCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	7.5	4.4	60	0.4	10.7	11.2	−0.5	13.6	2.9	2.4
Luther Burden IIICHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	6.7	4.7	58	0.4	10.6	11.4	−0.9	19.2	8.6	7.8
Mack HollinsNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	6.6	4.3	61	0.3	10.3	7.8	+2.6	11.1	0.8	3.3
Jaylen WaddleDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.7	4.4	59	0.4	10.3	9.2	+1.0	2.7	7.6	6.5
Christian WatsonGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	6.0	3.8	58	0.3	9.8	12.9	−3.1	26.6	16.8	13.7
Matthew GoldenGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	7.0	4.2	58	0.3	9.8	14.5	−4.7	27.4	17.6	12.9
Ryan FlournoyDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.7	4.5	52	0.4	9.6	10.2	−0.6	6.3	3.3	3.9
Stefon DiggsWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.5	4.5	48	0.4	9.4	10.3	−0.8	6.6	2.8	3.7
Jakobi MeyersJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	6.2	4.1	50	0.4	9.3	9.2	+0.1	8.5	0.8	0.7
Jalen CokerCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.2	4.1	53	0.3	9.2	9.9	−0.8	4.6	4.6	5.3
Adonai MitchellNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	7.0	3.8	55	0.2	8.9	9.5	−0.6	0.0	8.9	9.5
Mike EvansSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	5.0	3.2	50	0.4	8.8	13.4	−4.6	Did not play
Emeka EgbukaTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	6.7	3.7	46	0.4	8.8	9.4	−0.7	5.4	3.4	4.0
Jordan AddisonMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	6.4	3.7	51	0.3	8.5	9.2	−0.7	3.8	4.7	5.4
Rome OdunzeCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	6.1	3.3	47	0.3	8.4	8.5	−0.1	14.0	5.6	5.5
Jordyn TysonNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.3	4.0	49	0.3	8.4	4.8	+3.6	5.0	3.4	0.2
Josh DownsIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.1	4.1	46	0.2	7.9	7.0	+1.0	3.9	4.0	3.1
Denzel BostonCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.5	3.0	42	0.3	7.7	10.7	−3.1	12.8	5.1	2.1
Ladd McConkeyLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	5.2	3.4	46	0.2	7.6	8.9	−1.3	Did not play
Malik WashingtonMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.6	3.9	42	0.3	7.6	8.2	−0.6	3.1	4.5	5.1
Caleb DouglasMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.0	3.3	42	0.3	7.4	8.0	−0.6	10.0	2.6	2.0
DeMario DouglasNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	4.5	3.2	41	0.3	7.4	9.4	−2.0	12.7	5.3	3.3
Courtland SuttonDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.3	3.3	40	0.3	7.3	7.6	−0.2	13.0	5.7	5.4
Quentin JohnstonLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	5.8	3.3	44	0.2	7.3	5.5	+1.9	12.8	5.5	7.3
Christian KirkSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.8	3.2	38	0.3	7.3	4.2	+3.1	Did not play
Keenan AllenIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.7	4.0	40	0.2	7.3	7.9	−0.6	4.6	2.7	3.3
DJ MooreBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	5.0	3.1	40	0.3	7.3	10.6	−3.3	5.1	2.2	5.5
Makai LemonPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.0	3.9	41	0.2	7.3	7.8	−0.6	9.1	1.8	1.3
Deebo SamuelSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.5	3.4	36	0.3	7.2	10.6	−3.4	Did not play
Antonio WilliamsWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.9	3.2	40	0.3	7.0	8.2	−1.1	4.0	3.0	4.2
Tre TuckerLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.8	2.9	40	0.2	6.9	7.7	−0.8	7.5	0.6	0.2
Cooper KuppSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	4.5	3.1	39	0.2	6.8	6.7	+0.1	4.7	2.1	2.0
KC ConcepcionCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.1	3.3	37	0.2	6.7	8.9	−2.2	16.8	10.1	7.9
Chris Godwin Jr.TB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	4.8	3.4	36	0.2	6.6	6.3	+0.3	3.8	2.8	2.5
Tre' HarrisLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	5.3	3.4	41	0.1	6.6	5.1	+1.5	2.1	4.5	3.0
Khalil ShakirBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	4.5	3.3	37	0.2	6.6	7.3	−0.8	7.8	1.2	0.5
Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.5	2.9	35	0.3	6.5	9.0	−2.5	9.8	3.3	0.8
Tank DellHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.6	2.8	38	0.2	6.3	4.2	+2.2	18.5	12.2	14.3
Xavier WorthyKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.5	2.9	35	0.2	6.2	7.7	−1.4	7.8	1.6	0.1
Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.0	2.5	34	0.2	6.0	3.5	+2.6	1.6	4.4	1.9
Van JeffersonWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.3	2.5	33	0.2	5.7	5.6	+0.1	14.3	8.6	8.7
Devaughn VeleNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.2	2.9	34	0.1	5.7	6.9	−1.2	2.7	3.0	4.2
Chris BellMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.0	2.6	34	0.1	5.6	6.2	−0.6	0.0	5.6	6.2
Tory HortonSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	3.8	2.3	31	0.2	5.6	5.3	+0.3	3.2	2.4	2.1
Rashid ShaheedSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	3.9	2.5	35	0.1	5.5	6.1	−0.6	Did not play
Jordan WatkinsSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	3.5	2.2	32	0.2	5.5	6.5	−1.0	16.6	11.1	10.1
Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	3.6	2.2	30	0.2	5.5	5.8	−0.3	Did not play
Ted Hurst IIITB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	3.9	2.1	30	0.2	5.3	4.8	+0.5	0.0	5.3	4.8
Kalif RaymondCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	3.6	2.6	29	0.2	5.3	3.6	+1.7	5.2	0.1	1.6
Treylon BurksWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.6	2.1	30	0.2	5.1	8.5	−3.4	Did not play
Jahan DotsonATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	3.9	2.1	32	0.1	5.1	7.9	−2.8	2.6	2.5	5.3
Malachi FieldsNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.1	2.4	32	0.1	5.1	7.2	−2.1	5.5	0.4	1.7
John Metchie IIICAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.2	2.5	26	0.2	5.1	4.3	+0.8	5.0	0.1	0.7
Jerry JeudyCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.9	2.4	29	0.2	5.1	3.7	+1.4	4.7	0.4	1.0
Marvin Harrison Jr.HOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	3.9	2.1	30	0.2	5.0	6.3	−1.3	3.0	2.0	3.3
Reggie VirgilARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	4.3	2.6	32	0.1	5.0	4.3	+0.8	3.0	2.0	1.3
Jauan JenningsMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Prelim	3.6	2.4	28	0.2	5.0	3.3	+1.7	Did not play
Jalen NailorLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	3.3	2.1	30	0.2	5.0	6.2	−1.2	1.9	3.1	4.3
Demarcus RobinsonSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	3.1	2.0	28	0.2	5.0	8.4	−3.4	3.7	1.3	4.7
Isaac TeSlaaDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.0	1.9	28	0.2	4.9	4.0	+0.9	1.4	3.5	2.6
Xavier HutchinsonHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.2	2.4	29	0.1	4.9	5.9	−1.0	10.4	5.5	4.5
Keon ColemanBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	3.4	1.9	28	0.2	4.9	4.9	±0.0	3.2	1.7	1.7
Brandin CooksSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	3.1	1.9	27	0.2	4.9	5.4	−0.5	3.5	1.4	1.9
Pat BryantDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.6	2.4	28	0.1	4.8	4.2	+0.6	13.6	8.8	9.4
Darnell MooneyNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.6	2.1	29	0.1	4.7	4.2	+0.5	6.5	1.8	2.3
Ja'Kobi LaneBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	3.7	2.2	28	0.1	4.6	4.1	+0.4	0.0	4.6	4.1
Isaiah WilliamsNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.5	2.3	25	0.1	4.5	4.9	−0.4	0.4	4.1	4.5
Dohnte MeyersCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	3.1	2.2	24	0.2	4.5	4.2	+0.3	7.3	2.8	3.1
Kyle WilliamsNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	2.5	1.5	26	0.2	4.5	3.7	+0.7	0.0	4.5	3.7
Konata MumpfieldLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.2	1.9	25	0.2	4.5	3.8	+0.6	3.0	1.5	0.8
Darius CooperPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.4	1.9	24	0.1	4.3	7.3	−3.0	3.5	0.8	3.8
Efton Chism IIINE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	2.6	1.9	24	0.1	4.2	6.8	−2.6	13.4	9.2	6.6
Savion WilliamsGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	3.0	1.9	24	0.1	4.0	4.8	−0.7	11.3	7.3	6.5
Kayshon BoutteHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	2.8	1.7	24	0.1	4.0	3.7	+0.3	26.5	22.5	22.8
Hollywood BrownPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.3	1.8	22	0.2	4.0	4.5	−0.5	2.1	1.9	2.4
Colbie YoungCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	2.7	1.9	21	0.2	4.0	1.1	+2.9	Did not play
Rashod BatemanBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	3.1	1.8	24	0.1	4.0	3.5	+0.5	1.1	2.9	2.4
Josh CameronJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	2.6	1.7	19	0.2	3.8	4.2	−0.4	1.1	2.7	3.1
Joshua PalmerBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Prelim	2.7	1.5	23	0.1	3.7	2.0	+1.7	Did not play
Olamide ZaccheausATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	2.7	1.6	20	0.1	3.6	3.6	−0.0	1.0	2.6	2.6
Troy FranklinDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.6	1.5	19	0.2	3.6	1.8	+1.8	4.6	1.0	2.8
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.6	1.9	20	0.1	3.5	3.7	−0.2	1.0	2.5	2.7
Jack BechLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	2.6	1.7	21	0.1	3.5	2.6	+0.9	1.4	2.1	1.2
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.6	1.7	20	0.1	3.5	1.1	+2.3	Did not play
Skyler BellBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	2.4	1.5	21	0.1	3.4	1.1	+2.3	Did not play
Camden BrownDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.4	1.5	19	0.1	3.4	1.4	+2.0	0.0	3.4	1.4
Isaiah BondCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.5	1.5	19	0.1	3.3	0.4	+3.0	0.0	3.3	0.4
Tim PatrickNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.4	1.6	19	0.1	3.3	3.2	+0.1	Did not play
Jalen TolbertMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.4	1.5	20	0.1	3.3	0.8	+2.6	Did not play
Tutu AtwellLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.1	1.2	17	0.1	3.2	4.8	−1.5	2.6	0.6	2.2
Andrew ArmstrongKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.1	1.5	18	0.1	3.2	0.9	+2.3	0.0	3.2	0.9
Cyrus AllenKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.2	1.4	19	0.1	3.2	3.1	+0.1	0.0	3.2	3.1
Elijah MoorePHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.7	1.6	17	0.1	3.2	1.8	+1.3	0.2	3.0	1.6
Dyami BrownWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.2	1.3	18	0.1	3.1	1.9	+1.2	Did not play
Luke McCaffreyWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.0	1.3	17	0.1	2.9	3.6	−0.7	1.1	1.8	2.5
Tez JohnsonTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	2.0	1.1	15	0.1	2.9	4.7	−1.8	8.6	5.7	3.9
Laquon TreadwellIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.2	1.4	18	0.1	2.9	4.9	−2.0	0.0	2.9	4.9
Bryce LanceNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.2	1.3	17	0.1	2.8	1.6	+1.2	0.0	2.8	1.6
Jalen RoyalsKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.8	1.2	15	0.1	2.6	1.4	+1.3	2.8	0.2	1.4
KaVontae TurpinDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.9	1.2	14	0.1	2.6	2.0	+0.6	Did not play
Zavion ThomasCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	1.9	1.2	14	0.1	2.5	2.0	+0.5	1.8	0.7	0.2
Jacob CowingSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.7	1.1	16	0.1	2.5	4.8	−2.3	1.0	1.5	3.8
Malik McClainNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.8	1.2	15	0.1	2.5	2.4	+0.1	0.0	2.5	2.4
Deion BurksIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.8	1.1	15	0.1	2.4	2.2	+0.3	0.5	1.9	1.7
Jonathan MingoDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.9	1.0	13	0.1	2.4	5.0	−2.6	2.8	0.4	2.2
Devontez WalkerBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	1.7	0.9	14	0.1	2.3	0.6	+1.6	Did not play
Malik BensonLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.6	1.0	14	0.1	2.2	0.0	+2.2	Did not play
Bo MeltonGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	1.5	0.9	13	0.1	2.1	1.3	+0.9	0.0	2.1	1.3
Jordan WhittingtonLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.3	0.9	11	0.1	2.0	1.4	+0.6	0.0	2.0	1.4
Brycen TremayneCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.5	0.9	12	0.0	1.9	2.2	−0.3	0.0	1.9	2.2
Ashton DulinIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.5	0.9	12	0.0	1.9	0.9	+1.0	12.3	10.4	11.4
J. Michael SturdivantGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	1.3	0.8	12	0.1	1.9	0.5	+1.4	0.0	1.9	0.5
Coleman OwenGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	1.3	0.9	11	0.1	1.8	0.0	+1.8	0.0	1.8	0.0
Greg DortchBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	1.3	0.9	9	0.1	1.8	0.0	+1.8	0.0	1.8	0.0
Chris BlairATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	1.3	0.8	11	0.0	1.8	1.6	+0.1	0.0	1.8	1.6
Tai FeltonMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	1.3	0.8	9	0.0	1.5	2.0	−0.5	Did not play
Barion BrownNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.1	0.7	9	0.0	1.5	1.0	+0.5	5.7	4.2	4.7
Tylan WallaceCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.1	0.6	8	0.1	1.4	0.8	+0.6	1.1	0.3	0.3
Myles PriceMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	1.2	0.8	8	0.0	1.3	1.2	+0.1	1.1	0.2	0.1
Derius DavisLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.1	0.6	9	0.0	1.3	0.0	+1.3	8.0	6.7	8.0
Malachi CorleyCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.0	0.6	6	0.0	1.1	0.0	+1.1	0.0	1.1	0.0
Dareke YoungLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	0.8	0.5	7	0.0	1.0	0.0	+1.0	0.0	1.0	0.0
Devin DuvernayARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	0.9	0.6	6	0.0	0.9	2.3	−1.4	1.8	0.9	0.5
Charlie JonesNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.7	0.4	7	0.0	0.9	0.0	+0.9	0.0	0.9	0.0
Kameron JohnsonTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	0.7	0.5	5	0.0	0.8	0.0	+0.8	0.0	0.8	0.0
Simi FehokoARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	0.7	0.4	5	0.0	0.8	3.2	−2.5	0.0	0.8	3.2
Anthony GouldIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.6	0.4	4	0.0	0.6	0.0	+0.6	2.1	1.5	2.1
Nikko RemigioKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.4	0.3	4	0.0	0.5	0.0	+0.5	0.0	0.5	0.0
DeAndre CarterDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.2	0.1	2	0.0	0.2	0.0	+0.2	1.0	0.8	1.0
Travis HunterJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	0.0	0.0	0	0.0	0.0	3.5	−3.5	0.4	0.4	3.1

Tight endsTE80 playersEFS MAE 2.86ESPN MAE 2.66EFS closer 27/63

Player	Opp	Kickoff	Status	Tgt	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EFS Pts	ESPN Pts	Diff	Actual	EFS Err	ESPN Err
George KittleSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	8.1	6.3	83	0.6	15.2	13.5	+1.6	7.8	7.4	5.7
Trey McBrideARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	10.3	7.7	73	0.3	12.7	10.8	+1.9	8.9	3.8	1.9
Brock BowersLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	8.0	5.6	66	0.4	11.8	14.7	−2.9	20.8	9.1	6.1
Colston LovelandCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	6.6	4.6	50	0.4	9.9	9.8	+0.1	7.4	2.5	2.4
Sam LaPortaDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.4	4.1	45	0.4	9.0	9.9	−0.9	5.2	3.8	4.7
Hunter HenryNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	5.0	3.8	44	0.4	8.5	7.7	+0.9	5.0	3.5	2.7
Isaiah LikelyNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.5	4.4	49	0.2	8.5	10.4	−1.9	13.8	5.3	3.4
Dallas GoedertPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.8	4.2	47	0.3	8.3	6.6	+1.8	7.5	0.8	0.9
Tyler WarrenIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	6.5	4.8	44	0.2	8.3	9.3	−1.1	6.4	1.9	2.9
Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.8	4.0	41	0.4	8.3	9.3	−1.0	11.2	2.9	1.9
Tucker KraftGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	5.3	3.8	45	0.3	8.2	8.4	−0.2	1.4	6.8	7.0
Brenton StrangeJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	5.3	3.8	43	0.3	7.9	7.5	+0.4	3.2	4.7	4.3
Travis KelceKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.0	3.6	42	0.3	7.9	8.6	−0.8	15.3	7.4	6.7
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	5.2	3.4	40	0.3	7.4	8.2	−0.8	3.8	3.6	4.4
T.J. HockensonMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	5.8	4.0	38	0.3	7.3	8.4	−1.1	5.3	2.0	3.1
Chig OkonkwoWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.1	3.7	38	0.2	7.1	7.5	−0.4	8.6	1.5	1.1
Mason TaylorNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	5.1	3.6	35	0.3	6.8	7.1	−0.3	1.6	5.2	5.5
Juwan JohnsonNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.7	3.5	35	0.2	6.6	5.8	+0.8	10.4	3.8	4.6
Cameron LatuNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	4.0	3.1	34	0.3	6.5	1.9	+4.7	Did not play
AJ BarnerSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	4.7	3.4	32	0.2	6.3	6.9	−0.6	14.0	7.7	7.1
Tyler HigbeeLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.2	2.9	30	0.3	6.2	5.1	+1.0	1.8	4.4	3.3
Colby ParkinsonLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.1	3.0	28	0.3	6.1	5.5	+0.6	3.3	2.8	2.3
Mark AndrewsBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	4.8	3.4	35	0.2	6.1	4.8	+1.3	2.9	3.2	1.9
Dalton SchultzHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.7	3.3	33	0.2	6.1	6.5	−0.4	5.2	0.9	1.3
Greg DulcichMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.5	3.2	34	0.2	6.0	7.1	−1.1	2.4	3.6	4.7
Jake FergusonDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.0	3.0	27	0.3	6.0	6.8	−0.8	9.1	3.1	2.3
Dalton KincaidBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	3.5	2.5	33	0.2	5.6	6.9	−1.3	4.3	1.3	2.6
Eli RaridonNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	3.4	2.5	29	0.2	5.5	6.3	−0.7	6.7	1.2	0.4
Michael MayerLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.2	3.1	30	0.2	5.5	6.3	−0.7	5.2	0.3	1.1
Darren WallerCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.8	2.4	29	0.2	5.5	4.8	+0.7	19.0	13.5	14.2
Theo JohnsonNYG	@ PHI	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	4.1	2.6	31	0.2	5.4	2.2	+3.2	Did not play
Oronde GadsdenLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	4.2	2.9	30	0.1	5.3	4.6	+0.7	2.7	2.6	1.9
Cade OttonTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	4.0	2.8	26	0.2	5.2	4.8	+0.4	4.5	0.7	0.3
Mike GesickiCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	3.0	2.1	23	0.2	4.8	6.7	−1.9	2.1	2.7	4.6
Kenyon SadiqNYJ	@ KC	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.4	2.4	25	0.1	4.5	3.5	+1.0	6.9	2.4	3.4
Evan EngramDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	3.0	2.2	19	0.1	3.8	3.6	+0.2	5.3	1.5	1.7
Jack EndriesCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	2.3	1.7	17	0.2	3.5	1.1	+2.4	0.9	2.6	0.2
Tanner ArkinNE	vs GB	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	2.2	1.7	19	0.1	3.5	1.9	+1.6	Did not play
Tommy TrembleCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.9	2.0	18	0.1	3.5	4.0	−0.5	10.4	6.9	6.4
Charlie KolarLAC	vs HOU	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	2.6	1.9	20	0.1	3.5	4.4	−1.0	4.9	1.5	0.5
Elijah HigginsARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	2.9	2.2	19	0.1	3.3	3.6	−0.2	2.1	1.2	1.5
Eli StowersPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.8	1.9	18	0.1	3.3	2.3	+1.0	0.0	3.3	2.3
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.4	1.8	17	0.1	3.2	2.8	+0.4	3.0	0.2	0.2
Dawson KnoxBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	2.3	1.6	17	0.1	3.2	2.4	+0.8	5.7	2.5	3.3
Davis AllenLAR	@ WAS	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.2	1.6	15	0.1	3.1	2.8	+0.4	Did not play
Noah GrayKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.1	1.5	16	0.1	3.0	3.1	−0.1	1.6	1.4	1.5
Nate BoerkircherJAX	@ BAL	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	2.0	1.4	15	0.1	3.0	2.4	+0.6	7.1	4.1	4.7
Mark RedmanGB	@ NE	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	2.1	1.4	17	0.1	2.9	1.4	+1.6	Did not play
Austin HooperATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	2.1	1.4	16	0.1	2.8	1.7	+1.1	Did not play
Josh CuevasBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	2.3	1.6	15	0.1	2.7	2.1	+0.6	0.0	2.7	2.1
John BatesWAS	vs LAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	2.0	1.5	14	0.1	2.6	1.8	+0.9	Did not play
Luke SchoonmakerDAL	@ IND	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.9	1.4	13	0.1	2.4	0.5	+2.0	Did not play
Teagan QuitorianoARI	@ SEA	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	1.9	1.3	13	0.1	2.4	0.4	+2.0	1.3	1.1	0.9
Mitchell EvansCAR	vs DEN	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.9	1.4	13	0.1	2.3	2.2	+0.1	3.0	0.7	0.8
Will KacmarekMIA	vs DET	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.7	1.3	13	0.1	2.3	1.4	+0.9	1.1	1.2	0.3
Foster MoreauHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.5	1.1	11	0.1	2.2	3.0	−0.8	Did not play
Noah FantNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.6	1.2	11	0.1	2.1	2.0	+0.1	1.7	0.4	0.3
Drew SampleCIN	@ ATL	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	1.6	1.3	9	0.1	2.1	3.0	−0.9	Did not play
Matthew HibnerBAL	vs JAX	Thu 8:15 PM	Final	1.7	1.2	11	0.1	2.1	1.4	+0.7	1.0	1.1	0.4
Nate AdkinsDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.6	1.1	10	0.1	2.1	1.4	+0.7	0.0	2.1	1.4
Sam RoushCHI	vs TB	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	1.6	1.1	10	0.1	2.0	0.8	+1.3	3.3	1.3	2.5
Will MalloryIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.6	1.1	11	0.1	2.0	0.8	+1.2	Did not play
Mo Alie-CoxIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.5	1.1	10	0.1	2.0	0.4	+1.6	Did not play
Johnny MundtPHI	vs NYG	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.8	1.3	11	0.0	2.0	0.3	+1.6	Did not play
Adam TrautmanDEN	@ CAR	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.6	1.1	10	0.1	2.0	1.2	+0.8	2.5	0.5	1.3
Cade StoverHOU	@ LAC	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.6	1.2	10	0.1	1.9	0.9	+1.0	Did not play
Jake BriningstoolKC	vs NYJ	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.3	1.0	10	0.1	1.9	0.4	+1.5	0.8	1.1	0.4
Charlie WoernerATL	vs CIN	Sun 9:30 AM	Final	1.4	1.0	10	0.0	1.7	1.1	+0.6	6.6	4.9	5.4
Jackson HawesBUF	@ MIN	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	1.2	0.8	9	0.1	1.7	0.3	+1.3	1.3	0.4	1.0
Ian ThomasLV	@ SF	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.3	0.9	9	0.1	1.7	0.9	+0.8	Did not play
Luke FarrellSF	vs LV	Sun 4:05 PM	Final	1.1	0.8	9	0.1	1.6	1.4	+0.2	0.0	1.6	1.4
Eric SaubertSEA	vs ARI	Sun 4:25 PM	Final	1.3	0.9	8	0.0	1.6	1.1	+0.4	0.0	1.6	1.1
Ben YurosekMIN	vs BUF	Mon 8:15 PM	Final	1.3	0.9	8	0.0	1.5	2.0	−0.5	0.0	1.5	2.0
Payne DurhamTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	1.0	0.7	8	0.1	1.4	0.3	+1.1	0.0	1.4	0.3
Tyler ConklinDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.9	0.7	7	0.0	1.3	0.9	+0.4	0.0	1.3	0.9
Oscar DelpNO	vs CLE	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	1.0	0.8	7	0.0	1.3	0.8	+0.5	0.0	1.3	0.8
Blake WhiteheartCLE	@ NO	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.9	0.7	6	0.0	1.2	0.8	+0.5	0.0	1.2	0.8
Drew OgletreeIND	vs DAL	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.9	0.7	6	0.0	1.1	0.4	+0.8	Did not play
Bauer SharpTB	@ CHI	Sun 8:20 PM	Final	0.8	0.5	6	0.0	1.0	0.4	+0.7	0.0	1.0	0.4
Brock WrightDET	@ MIA	Sun 1:00 PM	Final	0.7	0.6	5	0.0	0.9	0.9	±0.0	Did not play

Scoring: half-PPR (passing 0.04/yd, 4/TD, −2/INT; rushing and receiving 0.1/yd, 6/TD; 0.5/reception).

Baseline: ESPN projections captured at the same time as each EFS update. Diff = EFS − ESPN.

Final: the last projection published before a player's kickoff. Evaluation scores Final projections; Initial is shown for reference.

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Week 9 Stat Projections

Evaluation

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